Mon, Feb 19, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Anaheim Ducks 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 86% of the time.
80%
9%
BUF winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.04 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:44 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.02 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.30 | 44.1% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.46 | 61.3% | +68.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:59 | 0.90 | 61.0% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.10 | 61.0% | +68.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.05 | 6.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 9.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 4.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.01 | 24.3% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.03 | 27.2% | +17.4 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 4.28 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 29:18 | 0.36 | 93.3% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 27:29 | 0.06 | 91.7% | +22.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:08 | 0.74 | 67.3% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 18:05 | 0.53 | 54.7% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.47 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:39 | 0.36 | 76.8% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.13 | 74.7% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.26 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.10 | 85.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:07 | 0.41 | 67.4% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.12 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.11 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:04 | 0.19 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:49 | 0.36 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 14 | 10 | 4 | .714 | 1.90 | −2.1 | 58:53 |