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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 24, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

St. Louis Blues 1, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 85% of the time.

DET winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Goal by Kane (Gostisbehere, DeBrincat)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Gostisbehere, Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat · STL Parayko, Kyrou, Thomas, Toropchenko, Kessel

  3. P1 1:33Shot by Copp, saved by Binnington
  4. P1 2:50Shot by Sprong, saved by Binnington
  5. P1 3:26Shot by Walman, saved by Binnington
  6. P1 3:46Shot by Seider, saved by Binnington
  7. P1 4:21Goal by Rasmussen (Raymond, Petry)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Compher, Rasmussen, Raymond · STL Krug, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas, Kessel

  8. P1 5:24Goal by Fabbri, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Fabbri, Fischer, Sprong · STL Leddy, Hayes, Saad, Parayko, Kapanen

  9. P1 8:49Shot by Parayko, saved by Lyon
  10. P1 9:02Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 9:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Binnington
  12. P1 9:41Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Binnington
  13. P1 10:16Shot by Parayko, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 10:22Shot by Kapanen, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 10:28Shot by Parayko, saved by Lyon
  16. P1 11:20Shot by Kane, saved by Binnington
  17. P1 14:12Shot by Veleno, saved by Binnington
  18. P1 14:18Shot by Maatta, saved by Binnington
  19. P1 14:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Binnington
  20. P1 15:21Shot by Schenn, saved by Lyon
  21. P1 15:52Raymond: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Compher, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond · STL Hayes, Krug, Kyrou, Thomas, Perunovich, Neighbours

  22. P1 17:13Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Lyon4v5
  23. P1 17:44Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Lyon4v5
  24. P1 18:11Binnington: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, DeBrincat · STL Schenn, Hayes, Parayko, Walker, Perunovich

  25. P1 19:02Goal by DeBrincat (Seider, Sprong)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Fabbri, Sprong, DeBrincat, Seider · STL Leddy, Parayko, Buchnevich, Thomas

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 2:15Shot by Sprong, saved by Hofer
  29. P2 2:41Shot by Petry, saved by Hofer
  30. P2 5:47Shot by Bolduc, saved by Lyon
  31. P2 7:37Shot by Krug, saved by Lyon
  32. P2 7:59Walker: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Perron, Chiarot, Compher, Veleno · STL Scandella, Hayes, Saad, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Kessel

  33. P2 8:05Shot by Kane, saved by Hofer5v4
  34. P2 8:28Shot by Sprong, saved by Hofer5v4
  35. P2 8:46Thomas: Slashing (2 min)6v4

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, Larkin, Sprong, DeBrincat, Seider · STL Schenn, Leddy, Parayko, Thomas

  36. P2 9:38Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hofer5v3
  37. P2 11:57Shot by Leddy, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 12:06Shot by Fischer, saved by Hofer
  39. P2 12:28Goal by Bolduc (Saad, Walker)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider · STL Leddy, Hayes, Saad, Parayko, Bolduc

  40. P2 16:26Shot by Raymond, saved by Hofer
  41. P2 16:56Goal by Compher (Raymond, Rasmussen)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond · STL Krug, Sundqvist, Walker, Toropchenko, Kessel

  42. P2 18:34Goal by DeBrincat (Kane)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Larkin, DeBrincat · STL Schenn, Krug, Perunovich, Neighbours, Bolduc

  43. P2 19:35Shot by Parayko, saved by Lyon
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:15Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hofer
  47. P3 2:58Shot by Fabbri, saved by Hofer
  48. P3 3:22Shot by Krug, saved by Lyon
  49. P3 3:26Shot by Neighbours, saved by Lyon
  50. P3 5:22Shot by Leddy, saved by Lyon
  51. P3 5:26Shot by Kessel, saved by Lyon
  52. P3 6:25Shot by Fabbri, saved by Hofer
  53. P3 7:16Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Lyon
  54. P3 11:02Shot by Fabbri, saved by Hofer
  55. P3 11:38Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Lyon
  56. P3 12:09Shot by Parayko, saved by Lyon
  57. P3 13:56Shot by Walman, saved by Hofer
  58. P3 14:06Compher: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond · STL Scandella, Hayes, Saad, Krug, Buchnevich

  59. P3 14:18Shot by Saad, saved by Lyon4v5
  60. P3 15:16Shot by Neighbours, saved by Lyon4v5
  61. P3 16:52Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Hofer
  62. P3 17:17Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 17:45Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hofer
  64. P3 17:49Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hofer
  65. P3 18:33Shot by Sprong, saved by Hofer
  66. P3 18:59Shot by Walman, saved by Hofer
  67. P3 19:00Shot by Fabbri, saved by Hofer
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final