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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 24, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

St. Louis Blues 1, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 85% of the time.

DET winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Sundqvist–Walker–ToropchenkoSchenn–Neighbours–BolducBuchnevich–Kyrou–ThomasHayes–Saad–BuchnevichHayes–Saad–KapanenHayes–Saad–BolducKyrou–Thomas–NeighboursSundqvist–Buchnevich–KapanenSchenn–Kyrou–BolducLeddy–ParaykoKrug–KesselScandella–PerunovichKrug–PerunovichScandella–KesselParayko–PerunovichScandella–KrugLeddy–Kessel
Kane–Larkin–DeBrincat2:500.19–0.002:270.17–0.091:300.08–0.020:420.08–0.001:240.01–0.221:320.23–0.085:130.51–0.212:010.07–0.000:300.00–0.000:430.12–0.002:070.00–0.110:460.01–0.10
Compher–Rasmussen–Raymond2:410.26–0.000:310.00–0.002:310.10–0.011:330.07–0.010:500.04–0.021:180.00–0.003:560.36–0.012:180.04–0.021:180.07–0.000:520.00–0.01
Fabbri–Fischer–Sprong2:310.22–0.041:270.04–0.011:250.07–0.001:450.24–0.050:420.05–0.003:470.38–0.261:330.13–0.011:070.05–0.001:020.07–0.000:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:590.00–0.01
Perron–Copp–Veleno0:310.00–0.003:070.01–0.021:340.06–0.000:460.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:060.20–0.000:510.00–0.063:300.20–0.231:190.06–0.002:490.00–0.060:590.00–0.000:430.00–0.02
Larkin–Fabbri–Sprong0:400.10–0.00
Walman–Seider2:290.34–0.003:050.08–0.013:260.14–0.010:590.00–0.001:470.16–0.085:210.32–0.203:000.26–0.010:460.00–0.001:180.07–0.061:130.12–0.002:070.07–0.00
Petry–Chiarot3:380.00–0.043:350.22–0.031:170.10–0.001:380.32–0.050:510.04–0.020:570.00–0.064:520.25–0.312:250.22–0.011:250.00–0.062:420.04–0.020:540.56–0.002:150.00–0.03
Maatta–Gostisbehere3:190.29–0.002:480.16–0.090:530.06–0.001:090.00–0.001:210.05–0.001:180.20–0.003:430.52–0.053:440.13–0.001:360.05–0.001:180.00–0.072:150.00–0.09
Petry–Gostisbehere1:070.00–0.000:370.00–0.001:050.00–0.00
Maatta–Seider
Chiarot–Seider0:450.01–0.220:410.01–0.10
Maatta–Walman0:320.00–0.020:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLarkin FKane FDeBrincat FRaymond FRasmussen FCompher FPerron FCopp FVeleno FSprong FFabbri FFischer FMaatta DGostisbehere DWalman DSeider DChiarot DPetry DLyon GToropchenko FWalker FSundqvist FThomas FKyrou FBuchnevich FBolduc FSchenn FNeighbours FKapanen FSaad FHayes FKrug DKessel DParayko DLeddy DPerunovich DScandella DBinnington GHofer G
DETSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL2423:340:591:5814
Moritz SeiderDET2723:030:511:4664
Nick LeddySTL2322:070:582:0006
Torey KrugSTL2521:290:521:5224
Jeff PetryDET2419:580:501:2326
Jake WalmanDET2419:270:491:2235
Dylan LarkinDET2119:040:541:4022
Ben ChiarotDET2518:460:451:2616
Oskar SundqvistSTL2018:200:552:1724
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2118:150:521:4414
Brandon SaadSTL1817:490:591:4512
Olli MaattaDET2317:400:461:2312
Matthew KesselSTL2317:370:461:5113
Shayne GostisbehereDET2117:260:501:3822
Scott PerunovichSTL2117:090:491:1622
Brayden SchennSTL2116:470:481:2543
Kevin HayesSTL1816:350:551:3512
Alex DeBrincatDET1916:240:521:5934
Patrick KaneDET1816:010:532:0132
Zachary BolducSTL2315:380:411:0660
J.T. CompherDET2115:370:451:1434
Daniel SprongDET1715:280:552:0551
Michael RasmussenDET2215:280:421:1924
Robby FabbriDET1715:030:532:0352
Nathan WalkerSTL2215:020:411:1814
Jake NeighboursSTL1914:580:471:3162
Lucas RaymondDET2114:550:431:0623
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1714:200:511:2003
Marco ScandellaSTL2014:140:431:1101
Andrew CoppDET1913:490:441:2213
Christian FischerDET1812:540:431:1942
David PerronDET1712:330:441:1421
Joseph VelenoDET1712:280:441:1912
Robert ThomasSTL1512:030:481:3333
Jordan KyrouSTL1310:340:491:3331
Kasperi KapanenSTL108:480:531:2803