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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

New York Islanders

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Horvat, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 1:57Shot by MacLean, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 3:35Perron: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Compher, Walman, DeBrincat, Raymond · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Dobson

  5. P1 4:48Shot by Pulock, saved by Lyon4v5
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Reilly, saved by Lyon4v5
  7. P1 5:35Shot by Lee, saved by Lyon4v5
  8. P1 7:41Pulock: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Copp, Walman, Veleno, Seider · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Pulock, Romanov, MacLean

  9. P1 8:33Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin5v4
  10. P1 9:09Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin5v4
  11. P1 10:03Chiarot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen · NYI Nelson, Reilly, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  12. P1 12:11Goal by Nelson, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Walman, Veleno, Seider, Raymond · NYI Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Aho

  13. P1 15:46Shot by Palmieri, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 16:18Goal by Cizikas (Pelech, Dobson)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Fabbri, Walman, Fischer, Sprong, Seider · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Engvall, Dobson, Holmstrom

  15. P1 16:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 16:42Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 17:41Clutterbuck: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, Rasmussen, Raymond · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Reilly, Aho, MacLean

  18. P1 17:52Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin5v4
  19. P1 18:28Shot by Palmieri, saved by Lyon5v4
  20. P1 19:40Shot by Fabbri, saved by Sorokin5v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:38Shot by Seider, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 2:14Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 3:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 4:14Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 4:24Shot by Barzal, saved by Lyon
  28. P2 5:04Goal by Maatta (Perron, Veleno)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Maatta, Gostisbehere, Copp, Veleno · NYI Cizikas, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov, Holmstrom

  29. P2 6:41Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 7:42Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 8:06Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Lyon
  32. P2 8:49Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Lyon
  33. P2 12:08Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 12:55Shot by Engvall, saved by Lyon
  35. P2 15:25Shot by Cizikas, saved by Lyon
  36. P2 16:10Shot by Reilly, saved by Lyon
  37. P2 16:44Shot by Lee, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 17:45Shot by Compher, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:10Goal by Kane (Larkin, Petry)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson

  42. P3 3:33Shot by Compher, saved by Sorokin
  43. P3 4:24Fischer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Fabbri, Fischer, Sprong · NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Pelech, Pulock, MacLean

  44. P3 4:47Shot by Palmieri, saved by Lyon4v5
  45. P3 5:04Goal by Nelson (Barzal, Palmieri)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Walman, Seider · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  46. P3 5:14Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 5:49Shot by Pulock, saved by Lyon
  48. P3 7:47Shot by Horvat, saved by Lyon
  49. P3 10:49Goal by Maatta (Gostisbehere, Sprong)+33 pts WP

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Fabbri, Fischer, Sprong · NYI Martin, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Dobson

  50. P3 11:38Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 13:31Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 13:45Shot by Nelson, saved by Lyon
  53. P3 13:52Shot by Dobson, saved by Lyon
  54. P3 13:58Goal by Barzal, unassisted+38 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider · NYI Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson

  55. P3 14:50Shot by Horvat, saved by Lyon
  56. P3 15:42Shot by Dobson, saved by Lyon
  57. P3 16:51Shot by Pulock, saved by Lyon
  58. P3 17:40Shot by Sprong, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 18:09Shot by Veleno, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 19:24Goal by Engvall (Holmstrom, Cizikas)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Gostisbehere, Compher, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock, Engvall, Holmstrom

  61. P3 19:46Shot by Walman, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 19:48Shot by Perron, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final