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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Noah DobsonD · #80110224:110.0534.9%+15.2
Ryan PulockD · #6000−1322:290.0946.9%0.0
Adam PelechD · #3011+3022:020.0040.9%+15.2
Mathew BarzalC · #13112+1219:180.0965.1%+61.8
Bo HorvatC · #14000+1319:050.2461.1%0.0
Brock NelsonC · #29202+2317:540.5067.8%+41.8
Alexander RomanovD · #28000−1017:240.0065.9%0.0
Kyle PalmieriC · #21011−1317:011.2548.6%+24.1
Mike ReillyD · #20000216:370.1248.8%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #18101+1215:440.8337.7%+3.6
Casey CizikasC · #53112+1215:300.0844.1%+18.8
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44000−1014:580.0031.2%0.0
Sebastian AhoD · #25000+1014:550.0051.6%0.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #10011+1114:240.2135.6%+3.6
Anders LeeLW · #27000−1213:530.3645.9%0.0
Kyle MacLeanC · #320000110:180.0254.9%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #17000−1010:120.0022.9%0.0
Cal ClutterbuckRW · #150000110:050.0318.9%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30W25223.8802.67−0.360:00

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #53000−3123:020.0642.1%0.0
Dylan LarkinC · #71011−1221:150.2368.8%+25.1
Jake WalmanD · #96000−3321:070.1739.0%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #37000−1220:580.0043.8%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #88101−1220:490.2755.2%+25.1
Alex DeBrincatRW · #93000−1220:400.2258.7%0.0
Olli MaattaD · #2202+2220:140.1056.4%+48.8
Shayne GostisbehereD · #41011+1219:190.0356.2%+33.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23000−2017:040.0338.7%0.0
Jeff PetryD · #46011+1016:490.0355.2%+25.1
Michael RasmussenC · #270000115:160.2959.2%0.0
Andrew CoppC · #18000+1015:050.4453.3%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #80000014:270.0261.9%0.0
Joseph VelenoC · #900110114:080.0147.3%+15.8
David PerronLW · #57011+1512:580.4258.1%+15.8
Robby FabbriC · #14000019:240.2658.3%0.0
Daniel SprongRW · #17011019:200.0758.3%+33.0
Christian FischerRW · #36000004:340.0046.0%0.0
Alex Lyon#34L26224.8462.68−1.358:58