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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nelson–Horvat–BarzalCizikas–Engvall–HolmstromPalmieri–Lee–PageauClutterbuck–Martin–MacLeanCizikas–Nelson–BarzalPelech–DobsonPulock–RomanovReilly–AhoReilly–PulockPelech–PulockPulock–DobsonPelech–AhoPulock–AhoReilly–RomanovDobson–RomanovReilly–Dobson
Kane–Larkin–DeBrincat3:280.13–0.133:330.09–0.085:070.46–0.101:030.06–0.000:570.00–0.007:490.46–0.191:040.02–0.000:550.01–0.001:090.00–0.071:130.00–0.001:390.26–0.00
Compher–Rasmussen–Raymond3:390.13–0.091:450.00–0.002:310.14–0.111:400.00–0.031:120.00–0.003:220.08–0.123:120.03–0.020:350.14–0.000:440.03–0.080:330.00–0.03
Perron–Copp–Veleno2:240.00–0.103:490.68–0.100:330.00–0.002:250.10–0.001:540.02–0.003:100.06–0.102:270.58–0.470:360.08–0.000:360.04–0.00
Fabbri–Fischer–Sprong0:540.00–0.062:150.02–0.021:240.00–0.080:540.00–0.000:350.02–0.00
Fabbri–Sprong–Veleno1:360.08–0.001:010.00–0.000:380.08–0.00
Walman–Seider9:060.22–0.350:560.00–0.081:390.17–0.001:550.10–0.001:030.00–0.004:510.07–0.164:160.02–0.141:230.00–0.020:560.14–0.001:500.08–0.000:360.09–0.000:300.00–0.000:400.02–0.080:350.06–0.00
Maatta–Gostisbehere7:120.58–0.161:340.00–0.022:570.00–0.043:560.00–0.041:580.06–0.103:220.45–0.271:010.00–0.070:300.00–0.001:010.04–0.000:380.02–0.000:550.00–0.000:410.04–0.00
Petry–Chiarot1:320.00–0.001:200.00–0.004:370.41–0.082:200.09–0.003:040.33–0.082:040.00–0.002:010.00–0.000:370.15–0.000:360.00–0.00
Chiarot–Maatta1:120.08–0.000:410.00–0.000:530.08–0.00
Petry–Maatta1:000.07–0.11
Petry–Walman1:050.14–0.37
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLarkin FKane FDeBrincat FRaymond FRasmussen FCompher FCopp FPerron FVeleno FFabbri FSprong FFischer FChiarot DPetry DSeider DWalman DMaatta DGostisbehere DLyon GPalmieri FLee FPageau FHorvat FNelson FBarzal FEngvall FHolmstrom FCizikas FClutterbuck FMartin FMacLean FPelech DDobson DPulock DRomanov DReilly DAho DSorokin G
DETNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Noah DobsonNYI2924:110:501:5824
Moritz SeiderDET2623:020:532:1434
Ryan PulockNYI3022:290:452:2704
Adam PelechNYI3022:020:441:5717
Dylan LarkinDET2321:150:551:3111
Jake WalmanDET2421:070:532:1843
J.T. CompherDET2420:580:521:4125
Patrick KaneDET2120:490:591:4311
Alex DeBrincatDET2120:400:591:3111
Olli MaattaDET1920:141:041:5023
Shayne GostisbehereDET1819:191:041:5613
Mathew BarzalNYI2019:180:582:0643
Bo HorvatNYI2219:050:521:3633
Brock NelsonNYI2117:540:512:0133
Alexander RomanovNYI2217:240:471:3612
Lucas RaymondDET2117:040:491:1822
Kyle PalmieriNYI2217:010:462:0531
Jeff PetryDET2116:490:481:4902
Mike ReillyNYI2416:370:421:0930
Pierre EngvallNYI1915:440:501:1631
Casey CizikasNYI2115:300:441:2041
Michael RasmussenDET1915:160:481:1622
Andrew CoppDET1915:050:481:1834
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2314:580:391:2513
Sebastian AhoNYI2114:550:431:1941
Ben ChiarotDET2314:300:381:0613
Simon HolmstromNYI2014:240:431:0943
Joseph VelenoDET1614:080:531:3621
Anders LeeNYI1813:530:461:1710
David PerronDET1612:580:491:1231
Kyle MacLeanNYI1510:180:411:0912
Matt MartinNYI1610:120:381:1911
Cal ClutterbuckNYI1710:050:361:1911
Robby FabbriDET119:240:511:2631
Daniel SprongDET119:200:511:2231
Christian FischerDET84:340:340:5321