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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Arizona Coyotes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Arizona Coyotes

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 6:20Shot by McMann, saved by Ingram
  3. P1 8:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Ingram
  4. P1 9:47Shot by Cooley, saved by Woll
  5. P1 10:41Shot by Giordano, saved by Ingram
  6. P1 10:44Shot by Holmberg, saved by Ingram
  7. P1 10:55Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Ingram
  8. P1 13:04Goal by Knies (Marner)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Lagesson, Marner, Matthews, Knies · ARI Zucker, Durzi, Kesselring, Guenther, Cooley

  9. P1 13:40Shot by Maccelli, saved by Woll
  10. P1 13:54Shot by Hayton, saved by Woll
  11. P1 14:12Shot by Reaves, saved by Ingram
  12. P1 14:42Shot by Hayton, saved by Woll
  13. P1 15:44Shot by McMann, saved by Ingram
  14. P1 15:51Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Woll
  15. P1 17:15Shot by Dumba, saved by Woll
  16. P1 17:16Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll
  17. P1 17:52O'Brien: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, McCabe, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit · ARI O'Brien, Stecher, Carcone, Välimäki, McBain

  18. P1 17:52Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, McCabe, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit · ARI O'Brien, Stecher, Carcone, Välimäki, McBain

  19. P1 18:17Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll
  20. P1 18:22Shot by Välimäki, saved by Woll
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:59Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Ingram
  24. P2 1:05Goal by Bertuzzi (Lagesson, Nylander)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Lagesson · ARI Kerfoot, Schmaltz, Durzi, Hayton, Kesselring

  25. P2 1:56Shot by McMann, saved by Ingram
  26. P2 5:23Shot by Zucker, saved by Woll
  27. P2 6:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Ingram
  28. P2 7:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Ingram
  29. P2 7:42Shot by Benoit, saved by Ingram
  30. P2 10:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Ingram
  31. P2 10:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Ingram
  32. P2 11:04Shot by Robertson, saved by Ingram
  33. P2 12:00Shot by Carcone, saved by Woll
  34. P2 12:18Shot by Dumba, saved by Woll
  35. P2 12:39Shot by Välimäki, saved by Woll
  36. P2 12:47Shot by McMann, saved by Ingram
  37. P2 13:12Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Knies)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies · ARI Dumba, Kerfoot, Schmaltz, Hayton, Moser

  38. P2 13:48Shot by Stecher, saved by Woll
  39. P2 14:16Kesselring: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · ARI Zucker, Durzi, Kesselring, Guenther, Cooley

  40. P2 14:19Shot by Rielly, saved by Ingram5v4
  41. P2 14:39Goal by Kerfoot, unassisted5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · ARI Bjugstad, Dumba, Kerfoot, Moser

  42. P2 15:05Shot by Robertson, saved by Ingram5v4
  43. P2 15:41Shot by Dumba, saved by Woll5v4
  44. P2 16:25Shot by Cooley, saved by Woll
  45. P2 16:40Shot by Stecher, saved by Woll
  46. P2 17:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Ingram
  47. P2 19:52Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Woll
  48. P2 0:00Zucker: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Lagesson · ARI Kerfoot, Schmaltz, Durzi, Hayton, Kesselring

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:10Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Woll
  52. P3 0:58Shot by Crouse, saved by Woll
  53. P3 4:42Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Woll
  54. P3 5:34Shot by McMann, saved by Ingram
  55. P3 9:37Shot by Holmberg, saved by Ingram
  56. P3 9:49Shot by Maccelli, saved by Woll
  57. P3 9:52Goal by Cooley (Maccelli, Välimäki)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Rielly, Kampf, Holmberg · ARI Stecher, Välimäki, Maccelli, Guenther, Cooley

  58. P3 10:28Shot by Dumba, saved by Woll
  59. P3 10:34Shot by Moser, saved by Woll
  60. P3 12:59Shot by Carcone, saved by Woll
  61. P3 16:15Shot by Domi, saved by Ingram
  62. P3 18:11Shot by Durzi, saved by Woll5v6
  63. P3 18:12Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Woll5v6
  64. P3 18:22Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Woll5v6
  65. P3 18:23Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Woll5v6
  66. P3 18:51Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll5v6
  67. P3 19:00Goal by Nylander (Kampf)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Nylander, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit · ARI Bjugstad, Kerfoot, Schmaltz, Durzi, Maccelli, Guenther

  68. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  69. P3 0:00Final5v6