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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Arizona Coyotes 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsARI wins

Arizona Coyotes

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

J.J. MoserD · #900000123:300.0246.3%0.0
Mathew DumbaD · #240000423:140.1959.8%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #630110220:080.1362.0%+11.9
Sean DurziD · #50000−3119:280.1419.9%0.0
Nick BjugstadC · #170000418:210.2346.2%0.0
Juuso VälimäkiD · #4011+1218:090.1071.4%+11.9
Michael KesselringD · #5000−2018:090.0318.5%0.0
Barrett HaytonC · #29000−2217:320.1728.9%0.0
Lawson CrouseLW · #670000116:530.0739.8%0.0
Nick SchmaltzC · #8000−3116:350.1029.9%0.0
Logan CooleyC · #921010316:350.4970.1%+11.9
Troy StecherD · #51000+1216:270.1487.0%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15101−2315:170.6931.3%+5.9
Dylan GuentherRW · #11000−1315:060.1771.1%0.0
Michael CarconeLW · #530000212:230.1946.5%0.0
Jack McBainC · #220000011:450.1145.4%0.0
Jason ZuckerLW · #16000−1110:220.0534.7%0.0
Liam O'BrienC · #38000009:540.0035.9%0.0
Connor Ingram#39L25223.8802.60−0.458:12

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake McCabeD · #22000+1024:570.0043.2%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78000+1023:190.0049.7%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1122:490.0658.0%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1222:260.0153.9%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+1020:360.1662.0%+17.9
William NylanderRW · #88123+2319:490.5141.0%+22.1
Auston MatthewsC · #34101+1419:390.3960.6%+6.6
John TavaresC · #910000017:170.1266.1%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23112+2116:460.1661.1%+24.4
William LagessonD · #85011+2015:170.0071.0%+12.8
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000215:110.1576.5%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000+1114:480.0132.0%0.0
Tyler BertuzziLW · #591010314:100.9331.5%+12.8
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000213:530.1653.2%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #740000513:200.2481.8%0.0
David KampfC · #640110012:580.1255.3%+2.8
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000−119:360.5455.7%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #55000013:090.1770.9%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W32302.9383.00+1.060:00