Sat, Mar 2, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Buffalo Sabres 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
57%
10%
26%
BUF winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.10 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:36 | 0.02 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.09 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:00 | 0.19 | 41.4% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.03 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.13 | 46.4% | +32.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.30 | 45.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.08 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.21 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.36 | 37.0% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.01 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.16 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.02 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.06 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.24 | 48.4% | +12.4 |
| L | 35 | 28 | 7 | .800 | 2.84 | −4.2 | 59:58 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:16 | 0.03 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.08 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.02 | 61.1% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.25 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:13 | 0.02 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.00 | 53.7% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.03 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.28 | 87.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16:09 | 0.59 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.23 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 47.2% | +27.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.05 | 56.1% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:08 | 0.33 | 59.5% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.11 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:49 | 0.10 | 56.0% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 13:45 | 0.29 | 60.1% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.06 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 12:29 | 0.37 | 37.7% | +11.9 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.01 | 0.0 | 60:00 |