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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 2, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Buffalo Sabres 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stephenson–Barbashev–AmadioKarlsson–Marchessault–CotterKolesar–Roy–DenisenkoFroese–Morelli–BrissonKolesar–Roy–MorelliFroese–Denisenko–BrissonKarlsson–Marchessault–BrissonFroese–Marchessault–MorelliMartinez–PietrangeloMcNabb–TheodoreHague–WhitecloudMartinez–TheodorePietrangelo–HagueMcNabb–Whitecloud
Tuch–Greenway–Thompson8:190.59–0.073:120.47–0.008:100.87–0.012:240.00–0.000:550.04–0.001:230.16–0.06
Okposo–Skinner–Mittelstadt1:030.00–0.003:080.24–0.262:050.00–0.001:590.22–0.110:450.05–0.001:210.06–0.122:070.00–0.015:010.08–0.261:500.28–0.000:510.17–0.00
Girgensons–Robinson–Krebs1:590.06–0.012:430.09–0.002:470.02–0.101:000.01–0.001:460.08–0.103:150.06–0.023:270.03–0.000:400.00–0.00
Cozens–Peterka–Benson1:290.26–0.226:140.22–0.600:350.02–0.000:430.02–0.003:060.14–0.014:090.32–0.740:340.02–0.060:440.04–0.00
Greenway–Thompson–Peterka
Jokiharju–Dahlin7:370.23–0.193:510.39–0.192:180.22–0.001:410.00–0.000:380.00–0.008:080.61–0.014:510.02–0.313:320.04–0.061:300.04–0.090:310.00–0.00
Bryson–Power3:550.62–0.104:380.24–0.431:500.05–0.260:350.02–0.000:430.00–0.003:150.37–0.014:040.32–0.433:540.07–0.261:080.17–0.06
Clifton–Johnson0:460.04–0.112:010.06–0.002:040.08–0.002:520.00–0.121:530.03–0.112:250.11–0.164:520.06–0.203:000.18–0.001:320.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:450.05–0.001:100.24–0.00
Clifton–Power1:020.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:400.01–0.00
Bryson–Johnson0:320.00–0.001:020.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Johnson0:460.00–0.050:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGreenway FThompson FTuch FPeterka FBenson FCozens FSkinner FMittelstadt FOkposo FKrebs FGirgensons FRobinson FJokiharju DDahlin DBryson DPower DClifton DJohnson DLuukkonen GStephenson FAmadio FBarbashev FMarchessault FBrisson FKarlsson FRoy FCotter FKolesar FMorelli FFroese FDenisenko FPietrangelo DMartinez DMcNabb DTheodore DWhitecloud DHague DThompson G
BUFVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3024:160:492:2576
Henri JokiharjuBUF3023:280:471:3868
Alex PietrangeloVGK2922:220:461:4138
Alec MartinezVGK2621:360:502:45110
Owen PowerBUF2721:030:471:3355
Shea TheodoreVGK2920:060:421:2556
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2119:000:542:2765
Nicolas HagueVGK2218:270:501:5014
Jordan GreenwayBUF2118:140:521:5265
Brayden McNabbVGK2517:400:421:2633
Paul CotterVGK2117:230:501:1545
William KarlssonVGK2117:230:501:2253
Ivan BarbashevVGK2117:170:491:5632
Zach WhitecloudVGK2217:150:471:4214
Ryan JohnsonBUF2217:130:471:3041
Jacob BrysonBUF2317:000:441:3233
Connor CliftonBUF2316:370:431:2942
Michael AmadioVGK1916:360:521:2632
Tage ThompsonBUF2016:260:491:2254
Alex TuchBUF2216:090:441:2273
Nicolas RoyVGK2216:070:441:1423
Chandler StephensonVGK2115:230:441:2344
JJ PeterkaBUF2015:220:461:2033
Eric RobinsonBUF1815:010:501:2911
Casey MittelstadtBUF1714:510:521:3590
Kyle OkposoBUF1814:080:471:1791
Zach BensonBUF2114:060:401:0813
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1713:490:491:1921
Jeff SkinnerBUF1713:450:491:2291
Mason MorelliVGK1613:170:501:3203
Keegan KolesarVGK1813:030:441:1713
Peyton KrebsBUF1612:540:481:2420
Grigori DenisenkoVGK1812:530:430:5902
Dylan CozensBUF2012:290:371:0017
Byron FroeseVGK1412:170:531:2602
Brendan BrissonVGK1411:330:501:1602