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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 3, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 5, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Winnipeg Jets

5

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Brossoit
  3. P1 3:10Shot by Schmidt, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 3:24Shot by Thompson, saved by Brossoit
  5. P1 5:35Shot by Dahlin, saved by Brossoit
  6. P1 6:17Shot by Ehlers, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 8:06Shot by Scheifele, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 8:28Shot by Ehlers, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 9:42Shot by Robinson, saved by Brossoit
  10. P1 11:07Shot by Lowry, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 11:20Shot by Appleton, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 11:43Shot by Connor, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 13:46Shot by Perfetti, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 14:20Shot by Monahan, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 14:41Shot by Dillon, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 14:59Shot by Cozens, saved by Brossoit
  17. P1 16:38Appleton: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Tuch, Greenway, Dahlin, Krebs · WPG Dillon, Niederreiter, Lowry, Appleton, Pionk

  18. P1 17:33Goal by Peterka (Okposo, Skinner)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Mittelstadt, Peterka, Power · WPG Dillon, DeMelo, Lowry, Namestnikov

  19. P1 19:05Shot by Barron, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 19:45Shot by Lowry, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 19:54Goal by Niederreiter (Morrissey, Pionk)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin · WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Morrissey, Appleton, Pionk

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:29Shot by Monahan, saved by Luukkonen
  25. P2 2:40Shot by Cozens, saved by Brossoit
  26. P2 4:26Shot by Okposo, saved by Brossoit
  27. P2 4:42Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 6:13Shot by Dillon, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 7:32Shot by DeMelo, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 9:20Goal by Robinson (Krebs, Girgensons)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Robinson, Krebs, Johnson · WPG DeMelo, Morrissey, Barron, Gustafsson, Perfetti

  31. P2 10:13Shot by Okposo, saved by Brossoit
  32. P2 11:17Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 11:35Shot by Krebs, saved by Brossoit
  34. P2 13:16Shot by Okposo, saved by Brossoit
  35. P2 13:29Shot by Pionk, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 15:34Krebs: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Namestnikov, Morrissey, Connor

  37. P2 16:23Shot by Morrissey, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  38. P2 17:27Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:07Shot by Greenway, saved by Brossoit
  42. P3 0:10Shot by Thompson, saved by Brossoit
  43. P3 1:23Skinner: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Power · WPG Dillon, Niederreiter, Monahan, Morrissey, Ehlers, Iafallo

  44. P3 2:19Shot by Perfetti, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  45. P3 5:35Shot by Morrissey, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P3 6:18Shot by DeMelo, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P3 6:57Shot by Iafallo, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 7:14Shot by Morrissey, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 7:39Dillon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Robinson, Krebs, Johnson · WPG Dillon, Niederreiter, DeMelo, Lowry, Appleton

  50. P3 7:46Shot by Lowry, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  51. P3 8:40Shot by Power, saved by Brossoit5v4
  52. P3 9:33Shot by Greenway, saved by Brossoit5v4
  53. P3 9:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Brossoit
  54. P3 10:00Shot by Pionk, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P3 10:38Goal by Morrissey (Scheifele, Namestnikov)+31 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs · WPG Dillon, Scheifele, Namestnikov, Morrissey, Barron

  56. P3 11:45Shot by Iafallo, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 13:55Goal by Barron (Perfetti)+38 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Bryson, Robinson, Krebs, Power · WPG Lowry, Schmidt, Samberg, Barron, Perfetti

  58. P3 14:23Shot by Appleton, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 15:52Shot by Greenway, saved by Brossoit
  60. P3 16:32Shot by Connor, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 18:39Goal by Namestnikov (Connor)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Power · WPG Dillon, Scheifele, Namestnikov, Connor, Pionk

  62. P3 18:53Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Brossoit6v5
  63. P3 19:06Goal by Monahan (Lowry, Appleton)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens · WPG Dillon, DeMelo, Lowry, Monahan, Appleton

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final