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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 3, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 5, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Niederreiter–Lowry–AppletonScheifele–Ehlers–ConnorBarron–Gustafsson–PerfettiNamestnikov–Monahan–IafalloScheifele–Namestnikov–ConnorMonahan–Ehlers–IafalloLowry–Appleton–BarronDeMelo–MorrisseyDillon–PionkSchmidt–SambergMorrissey–PionkDeMelo–SambergDillon–DeMeloSamberg–PionkDeMelo–Pionk
Tuch–Greenway–Thompson2:040.00–0.045:540.02–0.181:140.00–0.000:320.00–0.070:470.10–0.001:380.06–0.263:100.02–0.044:340.10–0.251:050.00–0.001:340.00–0.260:320.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Okposo–Skinner–Mittelstadt0:530.00–0.081:180.11–0.020:470.00–0.013:520.19–0.221:280.00–0.050:570.00–0.003:220.10–0.271:340.19–0.001:350.00–0.032:030.00–0.080:410.00–0.00
Girgensons–Robinson–Krebs1:470.01–0.060:400.00–0.003:010.19–0.000:300.00–0.000:330.00–0.002:190.18–0.102:150.52–0.011:220.01–0.031:510.00–0.00
Cozens–Peterka–Benson4:200.01–0.150:360.24–0.001:260.03–0.040:360.00–0.021:330.00–0.002:390.03–0.192:220.24–0.000:500.00–0.02
Tuch–Greenway–Krebs0:350.00–0.000:520.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Krebs–Peterka–Benson0:540.09–0.000:540.09–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin2:150.00–0.125:130.02–0.140:380.01–0.003:500.19–0.304:150.10–0.001:130.00–0.265:540.06–0.315:080.26–0.202:010.00–0.005:030.00–0.340:390.00–0.00
Bryson–Power3:510.01–0.072:320.07–0.002:480.08–0.001:000.00–0.020:460.00–0.022:470.14–0.063:480.51–0.012:320.01–0.050:550.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:120.00–0.02
Clifton–Johnson2:460.01–0.003:120.43–0.010:380.00–0.001:380.10–0.002:200.24–0.010:380.00–0.001:280.09–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:440.03–0.001:080.00–0.000:350.06–0.09
Clifton–Power0:460.00–0.010:380.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Clifton–Jokiharju0:460.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Dahlin–Johnson0:380.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Johnson–Power0:320.00–0.140:400.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Power
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOkposo FMittelstadt FSkinner FBenson FCozens FPeterka FThompson FTuch FGreenway FRobinson FKrebs FGirgensons FJokiharju DDahlin DPower DBryson DClifton DJohnson DLuukkonen GNamestnikov FIafallo FMonahan FLowry FAppleton FNiederreiter FEhlers FConnor FScheifele FPerfetti FBarron FGustafsson FDeMelo DMorrissey DPionk DDillon DSamberg DSchmidt DBrossoit G
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2927:240:572:1666
Owen PowerBUF2726:160:581:3942
Neal PionkWPG2825:160:542:3456
Josh MorrisseyWPG2924:300:511:4853
Henri JokiharjuBUF2523:200:562:1666
Dylan DeMeloWPG3123:050:451:2133
Jordan GreenwayBUF2220:150:553:1255
Mark ScheifeleWPG2119:570:571:4662
Alex TuchBUF2219:500:542:1654
Kyle ConnorWPG2118:320:531:5062
Brenden DillonWPG2517:470:431:2335
Tage ThompsonBUF1917:220:551:1834
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG2216:560:461:1644
Alex IafalloWPG2216:050:441:2046
Nino NiederreiterWPG1915:570:501:3532
Sean MonahanWPG2315:480:411:2946
Casey MittelstadtBUF2115:310:441:3172
Dylan SambergWPG2015:240:461:0814
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1915:200:481:2451
Dylan CozensBUF2014:570:451:2722
Jacob BrysonBUF2014:530:451:3621
Adam LowryWPG2114:490:421:1134
JJ PeterkaBUF1714:440:521:3740
Mason AppletonWPG2014:410:441:0442
Connor CliftonBUF2114:320:421:2223
Kyle OkposoBUF1914:120:451:3852
Jeff SkinnerBUF1914:010:441:3553
Peyton KrebsBUF1713:590:491:4721
Zach BensonBUF1712:220:441:2220
Cole PerfettiWPG1311:500:551:2910
Morgan BarronWPG1611:460:441:2610
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1411:350:501:3721
Nate SchmidtWPG1611:200:431:0313
Eric RobinsonBUF1410:580:471:2321
Ryan JohnsonBUF1510:200:411:4411
David GustafssonWPG118:130:451:0300