Sun, Mar 3, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 75% of the time.
17%
8%
68%
BUF winsWPG wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Niederreiter–Lowry–Appleton | Scheifele–Ehlers–Connor | Barron–Gustafsson–Perfetti | Namestnikov–Monahan–Iafallo | Scheifele–Namestnikov–Connor | Monahan–Ehlers–Iafallo | Lowry–Appleton–Barron | DeMelo–Morrissey | Dillon–Pionk | Schmidt–Samberg | Morrissey–Pionk | DeMelo–Samberg | Dillon–DeMelo | Samberg–Pionk | DeMelo–Pionk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Greenway–Thompson | 2:040.00–0.04 | 5:540.02–0.18 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.07 | 0:470.10–0.00 | 1:380.06–0.26 | 3:100.02–0.04 | 4:340.10–0.25 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.26 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||
| Okposo–Skinner–Mittelstadt | 0:530.00–0.08 | 1:180.11–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.01 | 3:520.19–0.22 | 1:280.00–0.05 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 3:220.10–0.27 | 1:340.19–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.03 | 2:030.00–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||
| Girgensons–Robinson–Krebs | 1:470.01–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 3:010.19–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:190.18–0.10 | 2:150.52–0.01 | 1:220.01–0.03 | 1:510.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Cozens–Peterka–Benson | 4:200.01–0.15 | 0:360.24–0.00 | 1:260.03–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 2:390.03–0.19 | 2:220.24–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–Krebs | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Krebs–Peterka–Benson | 0:540.09–0.00 | 0:540.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 2:150.00–0.12 | 5:130.02–0.14 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 3:500.19–0.30 | 4:150.10–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.26 | 5:540.06–0.31 | 5:080.26–0.20 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 5:030.00–0.34 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||
| Bryson–Power | 3:510.01–0.07 | 2:320.07–0.00 | 2:480.08–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 2:470.14–0.06 | 3:480.51–0.01 | 2:320.01–0.05 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.02 | ||||
| Clifton–Johnson | 2:460.01–0.00 | 3:120.43–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:380.10–0.00 | 2:200.24–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:280.09–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:440.03–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:350.06–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| Clifton–Power | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Clifton–Jokiharju | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Johnson | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Johnson–Power | 0:320.00–0.14 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 29 | 27:24 | 0:57 | 2:16 | 6 | 6 | |
| 27 | 26:16 | 0:58 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 | |
| 28 | 25:16 | 0:54 | 2:34 | 5 | 6 | |
| 29 | 24:30 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 5 | 3 | |
| 25 | 23:20 | 0:56 | 2:16 | 6 | 6 | |
| 31 | 23:05 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 | |
| 22 | 20:15 | 0:55 | 3:12 | 5 | 5 | |
| 21 | 19:57 | 0:57 | 1:46 | 6 | 2 | |
| 22 | 19:50 | 0:54 | 2:16 | 5 | 4 | |
| 21 | 18:32 | 0:53 | 1:50 | 6 | 2 | |
| 25 | 17:47 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 3 | 5 | |
| 19 | 17:22 | 0:55 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 | |
| 22 | 16:56 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 16:05 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 6 | |
| 19 | 15:57 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 15:48 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 4 | 6 | |
| 21 | 15:31 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 7 | 2 | |
| 20 | 15:24 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 1 | 4 | |
| 19 | 15:20 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 5 | 1 | |
| 20 | 14:57 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 | |
| 20 | 14:53 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 14:49 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 14:44 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 4 | 0 | |
| 20 | 14:41 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 4 | 2 | |
| 21 | 14:32 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 | |
| 19 | 14:12 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 | |
| 19 | 14:01 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 5 | 3 | |
| 17 | 13:59 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 2 | 1 | |
| 17 | 12:22 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 | |
| 13 | 11:50 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 1 | 0 | |
| 16 | 11:46 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 11:35 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 | |
| 16 | 11:20 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 1 | 3 | |
| 14 | 10:58 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 | |
| 15 | 10:20 | 0:41 | 1:44 | 1 | 1 | |
| 11 | 8:13 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 0 | 0 |