Sun, Mar 3, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 75% of the time.
17%
8%
68%
BUF winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:16 | 0.07 | 54.1% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 24:30 | 0.28 | 73.7% | +50.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.04 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.12 | 46.5% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.10 | 65.6% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.02 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.95 | 68.1% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.26 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.17 | 37.7% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:48 | 1.04 | 73.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.09 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.04 | 87.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.18 | 39.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:50 | 0.18 | 12.9% | +37.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.06 | 31.6% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.02 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.00 | 2.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.17 | +0.2 | 59:49 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 27:24 | 0.01 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 26:16 | 0.07 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:20 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 20:15 | 0.15 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.13 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:57 | 0.27 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.02 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.12 | 52.4% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.01 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.39 | 42.0% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.21 | 40.0% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.39 | 72.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.20 | 79.1% | +21.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:58 | 0.18 | 83.6% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 70.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.09 | −0.9 | 59:29 |