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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 6, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Brodie, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 3:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 3:17Shot by Knies, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 8:24Shot by Benoit, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 10:47Shot by Gregor, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 11:07Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 14:51Shot by Okposo, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 14:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 15:05Shot by Girgensons, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 15:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 15:44Liljegren: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Kampf, Lyubushkin · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Cozens, Johnson

  13. P1 16:07Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov4v5
  14. P1 17:43Shot by Krebs, saved by Samsonov4v5
  15. P1 17:47Shot by Greenway, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 17:50Shot by Okposo, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 17:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 18:55Shot by Greenway, saved by Samsonov
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:12Shot by Knies, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P2 2:29Goal by Nylander (Bertuzzi, Domi)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Nylander, Lyubushkin · BUF Clifton, Olofsson, Krebs, Johnson, Benson

  23. P2 3:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  24. P2 3:50Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov
  25. P2 4:22Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P2 4:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P2 4:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 6:31Goal by Olofsson (Girgensons)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit · BUF Girgensons, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Benson

  29. P2 7:07Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 7:11Dahlin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Lyubushkin, McMann · BUF Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Benson

  31. P2 7:27Shot by Clifton, saved by Samsonov5v4
  32. P2 7:28Shot by Greenway, saved by Samsonov5v4
  33. P2 9:24Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 9:58Shot by Power, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 10:12Shot by Clifton, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 12:07Liljegren: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Liljegren, McMann · BUF Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Krebs, Cozens, Power

  37. P2 13:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  38. P2 13:31Shot by Okposo, saved by Samsonov4v5
  39. P2 19:50Shot by Marner, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 19:56Shot by Benoit, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:31Shot by Okposo, saved by Samsonov
  44. P3 7:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P3 7:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P3 8:48Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P3 8:55Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 8:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 8:57Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 9:16Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 10:14Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 13:24Shot by Gregor, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 17:44Shot by Knies, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 18:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 18:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
  56. P3 0:00Period end
  57. OT 0:00Period start
  58. OT 0:33Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov3v3
  59. OT 2:18Shot by Rielly, saved by Luukkonen3v3
  60. OT 3:00Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov3v3
  61. OT 3:37Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov3v3
  62. OT 4:20Goal by Matthews (Marner, Rielly)3v3+45 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews · BUF Skinner, Dahlin, Cozens

  63. OT 4:20Period end3v3
  64. OT 4:20Final4v4