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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 6, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Greenway–Cozens–PeterkaSkinner–Tuch–ThompsonOkposo–Girgensons–RobinsonOlofsson–Krebs–BensonGirgensons–Olofsson–RobinsonJokiharju–DahlinBryson–PowerClifton–JohnsonClifton–PowerClifton–DahlinJokiharju–PowerJokiharju–BrysonJohnson–Power
Marner–Matthews–Knies2:440.03–0.102:140.00–0.043:410.39–0.041:440.17–0.001:090.03–0.006:050.26–0.145:110.26–0.040:470.00–0.000:540.11–0.000:330.00–0.00
Tavares–Jarnkrok–McMann1:130.80–0.003:520.02–0.002:190.23–0.471:520.03–0.003:550.29–0.002:150.00–0.001:350.08–0.001:080.73–0.00
Bertuzzi–Domi–Nylander4:260.07–0.002:360.00–0.261:150.00–0.000:420.11–0.000:500.01–0.003:160.00–0.232:400.18–0.001:000.00–0.000:590.00–0.03
Reaves–Gregor–Kampf0:520.00–0.001:100.33–0.001:270.00–0.210:470.00–0.002:030.22–0.101:360.00–0.000:560.00–0.21
Nylander–Marner–Matthews0:420.00–0.001:110.02–0.000:430.03–0.00
Tavares–Jarnkrok–Bertuzzi0:340.02–0.010:340.02–0.01
Rielly–Lyubushkin4:000.14–0.011:290.00–0.004:190.27–0.042:290.15–0.004:340.26–0.004:460.05–0.062:220.25–0.000:370.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Lagesson–Benoit3:130.00–0.003:020.22–0.043:010.00–0.211:050.00–0.000:400.02–0.013:160.24–0.042:590.00–0.002:430.00–0.001:500.00–0.21
Brodie–Liljegren1:530.03–0.073:540.14–0.232:500.23–0.472:040.17–0.004:470.26–0.074:080.24–0.230:510.11–0.000:320.00–0.00
Rielly–Liljegren2:220.01–0.141:010.00–0.000:360.00–0.002:590.01–0.141:060.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Brodie–Lyubushkin0:380.72–0.000:350.00–0.001:010.11–0.001:240.00–0.000:390.72–0.00
Brodie–Benoit1:140.02–0.030:590.02–0.00
Brodie–Rielly0:380.00–0.220:400.00–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMarner FKnies FMatthews FTavares FJarnkrok FMcMann FDomi FNylander FBertuzzi FKampf FGregor FReaves FRielly DLyubushkin DBrodie DLiljegren DBenoit DLagesson DSamsonov GOkposo FGirgensons FRobinson FTuch FThompson FSkinner FPeterka FGreenway FCozens FKrebs FOlofsson FBenson FPower DBryson DJokiharju DDahlin DClifton DJohnson DLuukkonen G
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3127:430:541:2774
Owen PowerBUF3227:080:511:2514
Morgan RiellyTOR3225:340:481:5572
Auston MatthewsTOR2523:450:571:4140
Mitch MarnerTOR2623:350:541:3142
Henri JokiharjuBUF2623:100:531:4123
TJ BrodieTOR2822:280:481:5333
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2921:000:431:2372
Dylan CozensBUF2120:581:001:5153
Jacob BrysonBUF2419:470:491:2213
William NylanderTOR2519:460:471:1352
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2919:340:401:2622
Alex TuchBUF2219:120:521:3331
Tage ThompsonBUF2118:360:531:5230
Simon BenoitTOR2618:330:431:3503
JJ PeterkaBUF1818:041:001:3631
Jeff SkinnerBUF2117:490:511:4750
Jordan GreenwayBUF1817:350:591:3433
Calle JarnkrokTOR2316:490:441:2214
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2016:440:501:2212
John TavaresTOR2016:390:501:2814
Eric RobinsonBUF1916:040:511:2112
Matthew KniesTOR1915:480:501:3030
William LagessonTOR2315:340:411:0902
Kyle OkposoBUF2015:120:461:1602
Bobby McMannTOR2014:500:451:1013
Max DomiTOR1714:410:521:2420
Tyler BertuzziTOR1714:100:501:2131
Connor CliftonBUF1713:470:491:1801
Peyton KrebsBUF1510:490:431:2123
Victor OlofssonBUF1510:200:411:1332
David KampfTOR159:560:401:0603
Ryan JohnsonBUF149:210:401:1900
Zach BensonBUF129:090:461:1401
Noah GregorTOR119:020:491:1801
Ryan ReavesTOR117:160:401:1900