Wed, Mar 6, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
38%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:43 | 0.20 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:08 | 0.05 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:10 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.01 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.43 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.20 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.30 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.22 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.19 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.03 | 54.6% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.18 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 0.92 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:47 | 0.07 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.05 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.05 | 12.9% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.04 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 12.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.12 | +1.1 | 63:52 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:34 | 0.33 | 54.1% | +44.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:45 | 0.61 | 56.5% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:35 | 0.04 | 78.9% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.02 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:46 | 0.29 | 39.4% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.01 | 96.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.02 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.37 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.45 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.29 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:50 | 0.35 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.01 | 31.7% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.00 | 44.6% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.01 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:02 | 0.33 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:16 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.96 | +2.0 | 64:20 |