Sat, Mar 9, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Edmonton Oilers 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
39%
BUF winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:55 | 0.25 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.42 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:51 | 0.09 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.03 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.18 | 49.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.17 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.37 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.14 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.24 | 45.2% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.14 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:43 | 0.48 | 45.5% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.20 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.04 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.31 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.15 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.39 | +1.4 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 28:55 | 0.19 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:53 | 0.44 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:46 | 0.39 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:27 | 0.16 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:57 | 0.42 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:34 | 0.02 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:10 | 0.71 | 47.2% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.16 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.14 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.23 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.22 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.07 | 83.0% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.14 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.06 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:04 | 0.03 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 3.18 | +1.2 | 65:00 |