Sat, Mar 9, 2024·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 57% of the time.
46%
11%
9%
34%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.04 | 63.3% | +24.4 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.07 | 43.9% | +36.6 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.31 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.09 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.01 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.27 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Joel EdmundsonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.02 | 25.9% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.02 | 56.0% | +19.1 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 69.4% | +24.4 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.02 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:44 | 0.21 | 55.5% | +19.1 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.23 | 62.2% | +36.6 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.31 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 12:19 | 0.34 | 70.9% | +61.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:36 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:42 | 0.10 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.33 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 28:21 | 0.29 | 74.7% | +42.0 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:51 | 0.28 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Cole CaufieldRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:44 | 0.17 | 57.2% | +16.2 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:23 | 0.41 | 62.4% | +42.0 |
 Kaiden GuhleD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:55 | 0.12 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
 David SavardD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.05 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.14 | 46.5% | +25.8 |
 Arber XhekajD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 17:45 | 0.10 | 20.5% | 0.0 |
 Joel ArmiaRW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.03 | 20.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake EvansC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.09 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Jordan HarrisD · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.02 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
 Jayden StrubleD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.24 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.15 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 Joshua RoyRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.10 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
 Rafael Harvey-PinardLW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.15 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Tanner PearsonLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
 Michael PezzettaLW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:45 | 0.01 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Samuel Montembeault#35 | L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.05 | −1.0 | 57:53 |