Sat, Mar 16, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.
48%
10%
34%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 26:10 | 0.17 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 25:03 | 0.09 | 39.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:21 | 0.08 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.36 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:08 | 0.03 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:01 | 0.50 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 36.1% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.25 | 45.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.09 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.18 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.12 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.14 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.08 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:12 | 0.17 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.21 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:07 | 0.14 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.25 | −0.7 | 57:13 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 27:07 | 0.00 | 50.5% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:25 | 0.06 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.01 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.11 | 62.4% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.01 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 70.3% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.74 | 30.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.07 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.09 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.28 | 67.1% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.40 | 65.5% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.10 | 59.7% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:10 | 0.49 | 65.2% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.09 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.02 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:03 | 0.28 | 49.5% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.03 | 40.5% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 8:03 | 0.20 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.61 | +1.6 | 59:32 |