Sat, Mar 16, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Montréal Canadiens 2, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
9%
44%
CGY winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 25:29 | 0.05 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.33 | 68.8% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.46 | 67.8% | +6.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 20:37 | 0.36 | 66.6% | +6.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.03 | 33.5% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.06 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.08 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.03 | 93.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.11 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:30 | 0.15 | 93.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.04 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.03 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:16 | 0.31 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:49 | 0.39 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.07 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.05 | 73.3% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.02 | 67.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:19 | 0.12 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.51 | −2.5 | 59:56 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 24:30 | 0.14 | 40.1% | +36.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:52 | 0.12 | 42.8% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 19:15 | 0.72 | 59.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.27 | 46.7% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.05 | 60.8% | +17.6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.34 | 37.1% | +36.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.09 | 45.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.15 | 38.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.01 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.15 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.09 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:20 | 0.34 | 63.6% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.04 | 7.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 0.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 2.70 | +0.7 | 59:47 |