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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Kochetkov
  3. P1 4:18Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov
  4. P1 4:59Shot by Guentzel, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 5:53Shot by Rielly, saved by Kochetkov
  6. P1 7:33Shot by Necas, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 7:40Shot by Chatfield, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 7:42Shot by Chatfield, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 8:15Shot by Orlov, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 8:48Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkov
  11. P1 10:00Shot by Necas, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 11:39Fast: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, Bertuzzi, Domi, Liljegren, Holmberg · CAR Burns, Fast, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov

  13. P1 11:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  14. P1 12:56Tavares: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews · CAR Skjei, Martinook, Pesce, Necas

  15. P1 13:56Shot by Dewar, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  16. P1 15:11Shot by Orlov, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 15:41Staal: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Edmundson, Liljegren, Robertson, Knies · CAR Staal, Orlov, Martinook, Slavin, Jarvis

  18. P1 15:50Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  19. P1 17:00Shot by Robertson, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  20. P1 17:28Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  21. P1 18:02Dewar: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Edmundson, Gregor, Kampf, Dewar · CAR Staal, Kuznetsov, Skjei, Pesce, Necas

  22. P1 18:05Shot by Burns, saved by Samsonov4v5
  23. P1 19:41Shot by Skjei, saved by Samsonov4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:00Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov
  27. P2 1:51Shot by Aho, saved by Samsonov
  28. P2 2:03Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 2:22Shot by Slavin, saved by Samsonov
  30. P2 2:35Shot by Necas, saved by Samsonov
  31. P2 2:39Shot by Chatfield, saved by Samsonov
  32. P2 2:53Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kochetkov
  33. P2 3:16Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkov
  34. P2 3:20Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkov
  35. P2 3:33Shot by Pesce, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 4:47Goal by Tavares (Brodie)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Robertson, Knies · CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov

  37. P2 6:27Goal by Nylander (Rielly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Nylander, Liljegren, McMann · CAR Staal, Orlov, Martinook, Chatfield, Jarvis

  38. P2 6:46Shot by Necas, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 7:52Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kochetkov
  40. P2 8:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  41. P2 9:20Knies: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Domi, Robertson, Knies · CAR Orlov, Guentzel, Chatfield, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  42. P2 9:54Shot by Jarvis, saved by Samsonov4v5
  43. P2 10:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  44. P2 10:41Shot by Necas, saved by Samsonov4v5
  45. P2 11:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  46. P2 12:03Goal by Robertson (Tavares, Liljegren)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Liljegren, Robertson, Knies · CAR Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin, Pesce

  47. P2 12:29Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov
  48. P2 12:52Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkov
  49. P2 13:25Shot by Martinook, saved by Samsonov
  50. P2 13:27Goal by Martinook (Burns, Fast)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Matthews, Holmberg · CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin

  51. P2 14:13Shot by Guentzel, saved by Samsonov
  52. P2 16:33Shot by Staal, saved by Samsonov
  53. P2 17:18Shot by Gregor, saved by Kochetkov
  54. P2 18:33Shot by Chatfield, saved by Samsonov
  55. P2 18:51McCabe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Domi, Nylander, McMann · CAR Orlov, Kuznetsov, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov

  56. P2 19:55Shot by Guentzel, saved by Samsonov4v5
  57. P2 19:57Goal by Jarvis (Guentzel, Aho)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Edmundson, Kampf, Dewar · CAR Burns, Guentzel, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:07Shot by Guentzel, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 1:05Shot by Skjei, saved by Samsonov
  62. P3 2:55Goal by Kampf (Rielly)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, Dewar · CAR Burns, Noesen, Slavin, Lemieux, Kotkaniemi

  63. P3 3:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  64. P3 4:40Shot by Martinook, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 4:43Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Samsonov
  66. P3 5:16Martinook: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf, Dewar · CAR Burns, Staal, Fast, Martinook, Slavin

  67. P3 6:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  68. P3 6:19Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  69. P3 6:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  70. P3 6:39Shot by Fast, saved by Samsonov5v4
  71. P3 7:02Shot by Knies, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  72. P3 8:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  73. P3 10:57Shot by Guentzel, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 12:15Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Samsonov
  75. P3 12:42Shot by Liljegren, saved by Kochetkov
  76. P3 12:49Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov
  77. P3 13:40Shot by Staal, saved by Samsonov
  78. P3 14:12Shot by Dewar, saved by Kochetkov
  79. P3 14:56Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Samsonov
  80. P3 15:16Shot by Necas, saved by Samsonov
  81. P3 15:27Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Kochetkov
  82. P3 17:06Kampf: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Brodie, McCabe, Domi, Kampf, Dewar · CAR Orlov, Skjei, Guentzel, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov

  83. P3 18:28Goal by Aho (Guentzel, Orlov)4v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, Matthews, Lyubushkin, Dewar · CAR Burns, Orlov, Guentzel, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  84. P3 19:15Shot by Aho, saved by Samsonov5v6
  85. P3 19:53Goal by Aho (Burns, Kuznetsov)5v6+45 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, McMann · CAR Burns, Kuznetsov, Skjei, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. OT 0:00Period start
  88. OT 0:37Shot by Slavin, saved by Samsonov3v3
  89. OT 1:01Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Samsonov3v3
  90. OT 2:03Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkov3v3
  91. OT 2:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov3v3
  92. OT 2:13Guentzel: Slashing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews · CAR Skjei, Guentzel, Necas

  93. OT 2:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov4v3
  94. OT 3:19Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkov4v3
  95. OT 3:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov4v3
  96. OT 4:53Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov4v4
  97. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  98. SO Period start
  99. SO Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkovother
  100. SO Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Samsonovother
  101. SO Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkovother
  102. SO Shot by Domi, saved by Kochetkovother
  103. SO Goal by Guentzel, unassistedother
  104. SO Period endother
  105. SO Finalother