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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Guentzel–Aho–JarvisFast–Aho–SvechnikovKuznetsov–Guentzel–NecasStaal–Martinook–JarvisKuznetsov–Necas–SvechnikovNoesen–Lemieux–KotkaniemiStaal–Fast–MartinookBurns–SlavinSkjei–PesceOrlov–ChatfieldOrlov–Skjei
Tavares–Robertson–Knies0:510.05–0.131:080.00–0.031:590.00–0.072:170.00–0.180:380.00–0.000:410.11–0.001:290.16–0.033:450.00–0.321:190.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Bertuzzi–Matthews–Holmberg1:370.09–0.001:270.00–0.000:460.00–0.112:050.08–0.210:380.00–0.000:330.00–0.273:200.01–0.423:290.17–0.041:310.00–0.13
Gregor–Kampf–Dewar0:550.02–0.001:230.00–0.041:130.00–0.030:380.00–0.001:180.00–0.001:010.10–0.270:420.00–0.003:300.11–0.042:300.12–0.032:020.00–0.14
Domi–Nylander–McMann1:080.05–0.021:370.12–0.000:380.00–0.001:290.07–0.001:480.09–0.390:560.03–0.001:330.04–0.025:430.28–0.69
Bertuzzi–Matthews–McMann1:420.00–0.152:160.06–0.15
Edmundson–Liljegren2:290.09–0.122:080.05–0.032:000.00–0.092:230.01–0.062:010.09–0.396:120.35–0.153:050.12–0.072:230.09–0.46
Rielly–Lyubushkin1:150.06–0.132:130.00–0.120:490.00–0.061:130.07–0.001:520.00–0.081:200.00–0.141:020.00–0.003:430.12–0.144:590.38–0.223:160.00–0.22
Brodie–McCabe1:380.00–0.031:110.00–0.042:040.00–0.070:410.00–0.161:500.00–0.102:170.07–0.133:000.00–0.483:490.05–0.123:580.07–0.230:300.00–0.00
Rielly–Liljegren0:450.01–0.001:020.01–0.060:360.00–0.00
Brodie–Edmundson0:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndGregor FDewar FKampf FHolmberg FMatthews FBertuzzi FRobertson FKnies FTavares FMcMann FDomi FNylander FEdmundson DLiljegren DRielly DLyubushkin DBrodie DMcCabe DSamsonov GStaal FJarvis FMartinook FAho FFast FSvechnikov FNecas FKuznetsov FGuentzel FKotkaniemi FLemieux FNoesen FBurns DSlavin DPesce DSkjei DChatfield DOrlov DKochetkov G
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Sebastian AhoCAR2925:150:522:2652
Brady SkjeiCAR2625:060:581:4805
Brent BurnsCAR2824:570:532:4771
Auston MatthewsTOR2623:470:552:5884
Morgan RiellyTOR3223:260:441:1771
Seth JarvisCAR2522:420:541:2566
TJ BrodieTOR2622:230:522:0516
Jake McCabeTOR2921:330:451:4917
William NylanderTOR2621:110:491:5683
Jaccob SlavinCAR2721:080:471:5523
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2920:530:431:5735
Jake GuentzelCAR2120:220:582:2441
Martin NecasCAR2320:070:521:3040
Brett PesceCAR2419:470:491:5706
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2219:330:531:4481
Joel EdmundsonTOR2818:470:401:1404
Bobby McMannTOR2317:310:461:2944
Jordan StaalCAR2817:220:371:3639
John TavaresTOR2217:180:471:4643
Dmitry OrlovCAR2217:020:461:1322
David KampfTOR2216:580:461:2105
Evgeny KuznetsovCAR2116:570:481:2571
Max DomiTOR2215:550:431:2931
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2415:490:401:1112
Tyler BertuzziTOR1815:420:521:1844
Jordan MartinookCAR2314:100:371:1326
Connor DewarTOR2113:280:381:1005
Jesper FastCAR2313:230:351:1922
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1713:080:461:1522
Pontus HolmbergTOR1611:520:451:0233
Matthew KniesTOR1911:510:371:0403
Nick RobertsonTOR1811:080:371:0204
Noah GregorTOR169:430:360:5813
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR138:420:401:1211
Stefan NoesenCAR117:270:411:0021
Brendan LemieuxCAR86:090:461:2010