Sat, Mar 16, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
65%
23%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 25:15 | 0.41 | 50.0% | +61.3 |
 Brady SkjeiD · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:06 | 0.03 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Brent BurnsD · #8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.11 | 55.4% | +51.8 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:42 | 0.34 | 46.2% | +12.3 |
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.24 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | 0.54 | 59.3% | +15.9 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 20:07 | 0.61 | 82.0% | 0.0 |
 Brett PesceD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.02 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.18 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.30 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Dmitry OrlovD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.17 | 81.0% | +3.6 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovC · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.18 | 89.9% | +45.4 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:10 | 0.55 | 55.8% | +6.4 |
 Jesper FastRW · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.13 | 73.8% | +6.4 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:08 | 0.28 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:42 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Stefan NoesenRW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:27 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Brendan LemieuxLW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
 Pyotr Kochetkov#52 | W | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 5.39 | +1.4 | 61:26 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 23:47 | 1.13 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 23:26 | 0.30 | 56.9% | +26.8 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 22:23 | 0.00 | 10.9% | +20.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:33 | 0.01 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 | 0.80 | 42.5% | +13.2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 20:53 | 0.08 | 45.8% | +6.6 |
 Joel EdmundsonD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.04 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:31 | 0.27 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.64 | 41.7% | +26.6 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.10 | 40.2% | +13.6 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 15:55 | 1.07 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.33 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.04 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.24 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.59 | 39.7% | +6.6 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.12 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | O | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 4.08 | +0.1 | 65:00 |