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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 17, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Detroit Red Wings 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 93% of the time.

PIT winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perron–Veleno–RaymondKane–Compher–DeBrincatFabbri–Sprong–CzarnikCopp–Fischer–RasmussenCompher–Sprong–DeBrincatCopp–Fabbri–FischerPetry–ChiarotWalman–SeiderMaatta–GostisbeherePetry–WalmanChiarot–Walman
Crosby–Rust–O'Connor5:440.40–0.360:410.00–0.002:180.04–0.001:360.09–0.085:140.32–0.354:250.12–0.050:400.00–0.000:530.09–0.04
Malkin–Rakell–Bunting2:300.33–0.071:110.02–0.093:020.07–0.140:380.01–0.001:290.03–0.153:420.38–0.002:570.01–0.09
Carter–Acciari–Bemstrom1:260.00–0.010:480.00–0.002:310.32–0.071:350.02–0.003:180.26–0.272:090.00–0.072:330.26–0.00
Eller–Smith–Puustinen5:480.28–0.050:380.07–0.002:330.00–0.003:500.35–0.00
Acciari–Puustinen–O'Connor0:430.00–0.090:430.00–0.09
Letang–Pettersson5:520.34–0.224:190.16–0.313:090.32–0.001:300.02–0.048:000.56–0.583:390.04–0.073:000.23–0.09
Karlsson–Graves4:040.38–0.303:230.01–0.431:470.14–0.092:350.12–0.193:210.02–0.434:320.47–0.014:210.08–0.520:380.09–0.04
Joseph–Ludvig0:390.00–0.011:230.11–0.001:590.02–0.072:420.03–0.001:000.01–0.002:170.03–0.013:040.02–0.072:580.12–0.00
Karlsson–Pettersson0:320.00–0.000:440.19–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndO'Connor FRust FCrosby FSmith FEller FPuustinen FBunting FRakell FMalkin FCarter FBemstrom FAcciari FPettersson DLetang DKarlsson DGraves DJoseph DLudvig DNedeljkovic GRaymond FPerron FVeleno FCompher FKane FDeBrincat FRasmussen FFischer FCopp FFabbri FSprong FCzarnik FChiarot DPetry DSeider DWalman DMaatta DGostisbehere DLyon G
PITDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2527:161:052:0133
Marcus PetterssonPIT2423:280:591:4944
Erik KarlssonPIT2222:101:001:2723
Jake WalmanDET2722:070:491:3743
Bryan RustPIT2521:290:522:0116
Ben ChiarotDET2421:280:541:4032
Jeff PetryDET2520:490:501:4342
J.T. CompherDET2320:270:531:5344
Lucas RaymondDET2420:140:511:4242
Moritz SeiderDET2619:180:451:3143
Sidney CrosbyPIT2519:090:461:5915
Lars EllerPIT2218:460:511:5124
Shayne GostisbehereDET1918:160:581:4542
David PerronDET2118:090:521:4252
Patrick KaneDET1717:551:031:4250
Ryan GravesPIT2117:440:511:2723
Drew O'ConnorPIT2317:360:461:1234
Joseph VelenoDET2217:060:471:2832
Alex DeBrincatDET1815:260:511:2940
Michael BuntingPIT1915:220:492:3042
Robby FabbriDET1515:131:011:3830
Noel AcciariPIT2214:520:411:1234
Reilly SmithPIT2114:450:421:1002
Jeff CarterPIT2114:270:411:0832
Evgeni MalkinPIT2013:580:421:1132
Andrew CoppDET2113:400:391:0726
Olli MaattaDET1713:390:481:2432
Christian FischerDET2012:360:381:0924
Rickard RakellPIT1912:310:401:1630
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT1412:010:521:3621
Michael RasmussenDET2112:010:341:0235
John LudvigPIT1411:190:491:5121
Valtteri PuustinenPIT1410:490:461:1611
Daniel SprongDET1210:030:501:1811
Emil BemstromPIT139:490:451:0821
Austin CzarnikDET138:480:411:2711