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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 19, 2024·UBS Arena, Elmont

Carolina Hurricanes 4, New York Islanders 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

NYI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:05Shot by Fasching, saved by Kochetkov
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 2:53Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 4:40Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 5:01Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 5:17Shot by Nelson, saved by Kochetkov
  8. P1 5:18Shot by Nelson, saved by Kochetkov
  9. P1 6:03Shot by Fasching, saved by Kochetkov
  10. P1 7:34Shot by Pulock, saved by Kochetkov
  11. P1 7:35Shot by Martin, saved by Kochetkov
  12. P1 7:43Necas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Martin, Palmieri, Pulock, Romanov, MacLean · CAR Orlov, Kuznetsov, Skjei, Necas, Svechnikov

  13. P1 9:32Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  14. P1 10:00Shot by Pulock, saved by Kochetkov
  15. P1 12:48Goal by Jarvis (Skjei, Guentzel)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Barzal, Dobson · CAR Skjei, Guentzel, Pesce, Aho, Jarvis

  16. P1 13:45Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 14:53Goal by Jarvis (Guentzel, Slavin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, Dobson, Holmstrom · CAR Burns, Slavin, Guentzel, Aho, Jarvis

  18. P1 15:08Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 16:19Shot by Orlov, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 18:04Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 18:12Pelech: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Dobson · CAR Skjei, Guentzel, Pesce, Aho, Jarvis

  22. P1 18:17Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin4v5
  23. P1 19:13Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin4v5
  24. P1 19:41Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin4v5
  25. P1 19:58Goal by Necas (Kuznetsov, Skjei)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Aho, Dobson · CAR Kuznetsov, Noesen, Skjei, Necas, Kotkaniemi

  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:31Shot by Pesce, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 1:06Shot by Barzal, saved by Kochetkov
  30. P2 2:17Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 3:54Shot by Lemieux, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 4:12Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 4:21Shot by Slavin, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 5:37Shot by Jarvis, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 5:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 5:55Shot by Pesce, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 6:20Shot by Chatfield, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 11:36Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 12:08Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kochetkov
  40. P2 13:28Shot by Pulock, saved by Kochetkov
  41. P2 14:51Shot by Reilly, saved by Kochetkov
  42. P2 15:25Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 15:38Shot by MacLean, saved by Kochetkov
  44. P2 15:44Shot by Pelech, saved by Kochetkov
  45. P2 18:03Shot by Pelech, saved by Kochetkov
  46. P2 19:15Shot by Reilly, saved by Kochetkov
  47. P2 19:22Shot by Aho, saved by Kochetkov
  48. P2 19:52Shot by Lee, saved by Kochetkov
  49. P2 19:56Shot by Barzal, saved by Kochetkov
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:21Shot by MacLean, saved by Kochetkov
  53. P3 1:04Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 1:48Shot by Reilly, saved by Kochetkov
  55. P3 1:57Shot by Reilly, saved by Kochetkov
  56. P3 4:27Shot by Nelson, saved by Kochetkov
  57. P3 4:30Goal by Palmieri (Nelson, Horvat)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov · CAR Burns, Kuznetsov, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov

  58. P3 5:38Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 8:48Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 9:01Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 9:20Shot by Dobson, saved by Kochetkov
  62. P3 12:38Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kochetkov
  63. P3 13:16Shot by Fast, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 13:17Shot by Fast, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 13:20Shot by Martinook, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 13:48Shot by Aho, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 14:40Shot by Nelson, saved by Kochetkov
  68. P3 16:03Shot by Palmieri, saved by Kochetkov6v5
  69. P3 16:22Goal by Guentzel (Aho)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Cizikas, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · CAR Skjei, Guentzel, Pesce, Aho, Jarvis

  70. P3 16:39Shot by Pageau, saved by Kochetkov
  71. P3 17:15Shot by Barzal, saved by Kochetkov
  72. P3 17:43Shot by Reilly, saved by Kochetkov
  73. P3 19:04Martin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Pulock, Aho, MacLean · CAR Staal, Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Lemieux

  74. P3 19:04Lemieux: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Pulock, Aho, MacLean · CAR Staal, Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Lemieux

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final