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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 19, 2024·UBS Arena, Elmont

Carolina Hurricanes 4, New York Islanders 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.

NYI winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Guentzel–Aho–JarvisKuznetsov–Necas–SvechnikovStaal–Fast–MartinookNoesen–Lemieux–KotkaniemiBurns–SlavinSkjei–PesceOrlov–ChatfieldOrlov–Skjei
Palmieri–Nelson–Horvat4:140.00–0.403:470.33–0.123:340.02–0.453:430.18–0.052:390.01–0.454:060.15–0.04
Clutterbuck–Martin–MacLean1:550.31–0.363:270.00–0.063:590.00–0.043:280.01–0.363:210.00–0.073:120.00–0.01
Lee–Barzal–Holmstrom3:410.04–0.011:100.03–0.001:540.06–0.103:500.06–0.112:440.09–0.001:440.04–0.00
Cizikas–Pageau–Fasching2:420.00–0.060:390.00–0.011:590.00–0.001:320.00–0.010:460.00–0.003:390.00–0.06
Lee–Pageau–Barzal3:060.00–0.221:170.00–0.021:030.00–0.013:120.00–0.24
Cizikas–Fasching–Holmstrom0:320.00–0.000:540.00–0.010:520.00–0.19
Nelson–Fasching–Horvat0:330.00–0.00
Reilly–Aho4:510.07–0.393:380.05–0.140:510.00–0.002:430.19–0.006:060.11–0.013:280.23–0.353:460.15–0.06
Pulock–Romanov1:540.00–0.113:290.49–0.444:090.00–0.072:330.14–0.003:330.19–0.364:070.14–0.205:080.00–0.07
Pelech–Dobson2:260.01–0.292:250.00–0.103:190.06–0.122:360.00–0.053:310.02–0.293:440.06–0.203:450.00–0.02
Dobson–Romanov1:520.00–0.010:520.00–0.011:070.00–0.07
Pelech–Aho1:000.00–0.050:440.00–0.441:080.00–0.05
Pelech–Pulock0:500.02–0.000:480.07–0.00
Pulock–Aho0:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Reilly–Pulock1:190.32–0.00
Reilly–Dobson0:430.02–0.00
Pulock–Dobson0:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndClutterbuck FMartin FMacLean FPageau FLee FBarzal FHorvat FNelson FPalmieri FFasching FCizikas FHolmstrom FPulock DRomanov DDobson DPelech DAho DReilly DSorokin GStaal FMartinook FFast FSvechnikov FNecas FKuznetsov FAho FJarvis FGuentzel FLemieux FKotkaniemi FNoesen FChatfield DOrlov DSkjei DPesce DSlavin DBurns DKochetkov G
NYICARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan PulockNYI2621:570:511:5013
Brady SkjeiCAR2721:100:471:1013
Brent BurnsCAR2421:080:531:1932
Noah DobsonNYI2521:060:512:0643
Jaccob SlavinCAR2320:050:521:3612
Sebastian AhoNYI2520:020:481:4110
Brett PesceCAR2719:530:441:0314
Alexander RomanovNYI2419:040:481:3113
Dmitry OrlovCAR2118:460:541:4631
Mathew BarzalNYI2018:420:561:3851
Mike ReillyNYI2418:280:461:2200
Martin NecasCAR2117:490:511:4730
Anders LeeNYI1917:360:561:4531
Kyle PalmieriNYI2117:320:502:1323
Sebastian AhoCAR2117:230:501:1321
Adam PelechNYI2317:220:452:1003
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2217:200:471:2331
Brock NelsonNYI1917:030:541:5633
Seth JarvisCAR2017:020:511:2222
Bo HorvatNYI1916:280:521:4733
Jake GuentzelCAR2016:250:491:2621
Evgeny KuznetsovCAR2016:210:491:4640
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI1916:150:511:1312
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2015:190:461:2850
Jordan MartinookCAR2014:490:441:0314
Jesper FastCAR2014:490:441:1614
Simon HolmstromNYI1614:160:541:3521
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1814:050:471:3600
Kyle MacLeanNYI1913:010:411:0100
Cal ClutterbuckNYI1912:510:410:5500
Jordan StaalCAR2012:440:381:0115
Casey CizikasNYI1612:360:471:1011
Matt MartinNYI1812:240:411:0900
Hudson FaschingNYI1512:210:491:0801
Brendan LemieuxCAR1612:070:451:2610
Stefan NoesenCAR1710:450:381:1610