Wed, Mar 20, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 55% of the time.
44%
11%
9%
36%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:38 | 0.00 | 12.2% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.04 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.13 | 27.2% | +32.0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 5 | 19:35 | 0.47 | 70.4% | +52.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.17 | 24.8% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.08 | 69.8% | +52.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.03 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.12 | 59.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.03 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.11 | 19.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.36 | 67.2% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.22 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:52 | 0.06 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.21 | 59.8% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 0.14 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.04 | 74.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.42 | −0.6 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 4 | 24:29 | 0.38 | 61.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.03 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.26 | 63.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.10 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.33 | 84.9% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.36 | 78.0% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.04 | 52.3% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.28 | 64.5% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.23 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.10 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.09 | 51.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.19 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 22 | 7 | .759 | 2.23 | −4.8 | 60:00 |