Wed, Mar 20, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 7, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 55% of the time.
44%
11%
9%
36%
WSH winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gregor–Kampf–Dewar | Bertuzzi–Domi–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Knies | Holmberg–Robertson–McMann | Domi–Matthews–McMann | Nylander–Holmberg–Robertson | Tavares–Nylander–McMann | Edmundson–Liljegren | Rielly–McCabe | Timmins–Benoit | Rielly–Timmins | Liljegren–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn | 3:070.00–0.07 | 0:420.00–0.12 | 1:230.00–0.15 | 1:440.09–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.01 | 2:380.00–0.20 | 3:090.09–0.12 | |||||
| Wilson–Strome–Miroshnichenko | 0:460.07–0.00 | 1:300.07–0.00 | 2:050.22–0.06 | 0:590.00–0.02 | 3:070.29–0.00 | 1:460.07–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.02 | |||||
| Ovechkin–Sgarbossa–McMichael | 0:530.00–0.09 | 0:330.00–0.09 | 2:270.55–0.00 | 1:110.55–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.07 | 2:130.00–0.18 | ||||||
| Pacioretty–Milano–Lapierre | 2:150.16–0.03 | 2:100.00–0.17 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.17 | 1:130.18–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Wilson–Milano–Strome | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:390.09–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 0:300.07–0.09 | 0:550.09–0.00 | 2:060.15–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||
| Ovechkin–McMichael–Miroshnichenko | 0:370.07–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.24 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:350.13–0.10 | 1:220.07–0.00 | 1:000.13–0.10 | 0:440.00–0.24 | |||||
| Pacioretty–Aube-Kubel–Lapierre | 1:110.00–0.08 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Ovechkin–Pacioretty–Strome | 1:230.02–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Milano–Lapierre–Miroshnichenko | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Jensen–Sandin | 2:220.02–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.12 | 2:050.00–0.07 | 1:120.02–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 2:180.00–0.00 | 4:220.00–0.10 | 3:160.04–0.09 | ||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 0:300.07–0.00 | 2:410.08–0.29 | 3:280.62–0.12 | 1:040.00–0.15 | 3:100.62–0.00 | 3:150.14–0.20 | 2:060.00–0.40 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||
| van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev | 3:390.21–0.08 | 1:010.00–0.17 | 1:030.09–0.00 | 2:170.05–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.17 | 3:220.26–0.08 | ||||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:100.09–0.00 | 0:480.39–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.10 | 1:460.31–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.10 | 1:590.00–0.03 | ||||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:470.09–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:110.22–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 1:420.02–0.13 | 1:030.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 1:360.00–0.09 | ||||||||
| Jensen–Fehérváry | 1:420.00–0.01 | 1:530.00–0.01 | 0:370.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Carlson–Alexeyev | 0:530.00–0.05 | 1:040.07–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Carlson–Jensen | 0:340.00–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 29 | 24:29 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 2 | 5 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 29 | 22:38 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 27 | 22:16 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 1 | 7 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 24 | 21:10 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 1 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 20:54 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 2 | 5 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 24 | 20:29 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 26 | 20:20 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 20:01 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 19:35 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 5 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 17:43 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Beck MalenstynWSH | 26 | 17:42 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 0 | 10 |
 Max DomiTOR | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 4 | 0 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 24 | 17:22 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 20 | 17:10 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 26 | 17:01 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 2 | 5 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 21 | 16:33 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 1 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 19 | 16:02 | 0:51 | 1:58 | 2 | 3 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 25 | 16:00 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Joel EdmundsonTOR | 27 | 16:00 | 0:36 | 0:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 19 | 15:47 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 2 | 1 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 23 | 15:22 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 0 | 10 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 21 | 15:19 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 24 | 15:06 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 7 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 18 | 14:52 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 0 | 4 |
 Noah GregorTOR | 18 | 14:27 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 20 | 14:19 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 6 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 15 | 14:11 | 0:57 | 1:54 | 3 | 0 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH | 17 | 13:06 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 0 | 4 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 16 | 12:56 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Max PaciorettyWSH | 17 | 12:46 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 0 | 0 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH | 18 | 12:00 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Michael SgarbossaWSH | 15 | 11:40 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 13 | 10:57 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander AlexeyevWSH | 15 | 10:28 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 11 | 8:49 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 4 | 0 |