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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 21, 2024·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Buffalo Sabres 3, Edmonton Oilers 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 85% of the time.

EDM winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Greenway–Cozens–BensonTuch–Thompson–PeterkaOlofsson–Jost–RousekSkinner–Girgensons–KrebsSkinner–Cozens–BensonTuch–Greenway–ThompsonGirgensons–Greenway–KrebsJokiharju–PowerDahlin–ByramClifton–BrysonByram–PowerJokiharju–DahlinClifton–ByramClifton–Power
Perry–Henrique–Nugent-Hopkins1:350.05–0.171:480.00–0.002:340.21–0.003:310.53–0.004:150.26–0.000:340.00–0.040:380.07–0.00
Carrick–Brown–Janmark3:150.24–0.000:510.00–0.172:030.08–0.102:470.17–0.001:550.00–0.071:480.00–0.17
Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid0:450.00–0.001:440.35–0.050:330.00–0.001:410.21–0.001:400.34–0.001:590.07–0.051:080.83–0.002:020.31–0.00
Kane–Hyman–McDavid0:430.17–0.004:380.00–0.570:300.02–0.001:530.03–0.113:060.22–0.371:220.02–0.000:330.00–0.17
Draisaitl–Foegele–McLeod3:500.31–0.011:020.00–0.030:500.03–0.001:460.00–0.002:300.18–0.041:020.03–0.00
Kane–Foegele–McLeod1:390.43–0.171:390.03–0.17
Ekholm–Bouchard2:320.30–0.005:170.35–0.560:310.00–0.001:180.33–0.001:110.02–0.001:030.03–0.004:040.80–0.095:200.44–0.292:260.87–0.173:260.38–0.000:300.00–0.000:370.07–0.00
Nurse–Stecher4:220.18–0.172:060.00–0.232:030.00–0.101:460.10–0.004:450.00–0.002:040.09–0.063:260.06–0.170:460.11–0.000:350.00–0.07
Ceci–Kulak3:050.30–0.112:300.49–0.222:020.11–0.073:170.37–0.073:350.79–0.122:480.00–0.184:120.28–0.001:000.11–0.041:010.24–0.17
Ceci–Nurse0:500.00–0.000:390.10–0.000:530.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDraisaitl FFoegele FMcLeod FMcDavid FKane FHyman FHenrique FPerry FNugent-Hopkins FJanmark FCarrick FBrown FNurse DStecher DBouchard DEkholm DCeci DKulak DSkinner GBenson FGreenway FCozens FTuch FThompson FPeterka FKrebs FGirgensons FSkinner FJost FOlofsson FRousek FJokiharju DPower DDahlin DByram DClifton DBryson DLuukkonen G
EDMBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF3025:380:512:1826
Evan BouchardEDM2123:531:083:0321
Alex TuchBUF2322:420:593:4334
Rasmus DahlinBUF2322:420:593:3132
Jordan GreenwayBUF2522:380:542:1554
Bowen ByramBUF2322:010:572:1933
Mattias EkholmEDM2221:491:001:5013
Darnell NurseEDM2320:480:541:2125
Dylan CozensBUF2620:420:482:1734
Connor McDavidEDM2119:410:561:5361
Zach BensonBUF2019:390:592:1831
JJ PeterkaBUF2119:150:553:3021
Tage ThompsonBUF2219:090:523:3035
Leon DraisaitlEDM2018:570:571:4552
Cody CeciEDM2218:130:501:5703
Brett KulakEDM2017:500:541:4503
Zach HymanEDM2117:300:501:4171
Henri JokiharjuBUF2417:190:431:1803
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2117:030:491:3728
Connor CliftonBUF2015:200:461:3431
Troy StecherEDM1815:040:501:2211
Ryan McLeodEDM1914:480:471:2420
Corey PerryEDM1914:410:461:1513
Adam HenriqueEDM1914:080:451:4117
Evander KaneEDM1813:390:461:4031
Connor BrownEDM1413:090:561:2001
Warren FoegeleEDM1813:060:441:1220
Jacob BrysonBUF1812:210:411:2721
Jeff SkinnerBUF1411:210:492:2432
Mattias JanmarkEDM1410:540:471:2001
Peyton KrebsBUF1610:500:411:1322
Victor OlofssonBUF1710:210:371:2610
Sam CarrickEDM129:110:461:2001
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF149:060:391:0922
Tyson JostBUF138:540:411:1420
Lukas RousekBUF117:540:431:1700