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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 22, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 75% of the time.

DAL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Crosby–Rust–O'ConnorMalkin–Rakell–BuntingEller–Smith–PuustinenAcciari–Puljujarvi–BemstromMalkin–Smith–RakellEller–Smith–AcciariCrosby–Smith–PuustinenKarlsson–PetterssonLetang–JosephSt. Ivany–LudvigLetang–Karlsson
Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson5:060.14–0.001:230.15–0.001:490.30–0.000:570.09–0.000:430.00–0.003:190.20–0.036:080.48–0.001:070.00–0.00
Duchene–Seguin–Marchment1:050.00–0.052:510.05–0.715:290.24–0.190:350.00–0.003:300.00–0.333:260.19–0.203:090.05–0.46
Benn–Stankoven–Johnston3:300.12–0.163:090.00–0.260:380.00–0.003:210.07–0.094:500.00–0.003:560.03–0.421:510.16–0.090:340.00–0.00
Smith–Faksa–Steel1:190.03–0.121:540.03–0.170:560.11–0.002:400.00–0.230:320.00–0.004:050.00–0.261:510.03–0.231:500.14–0.03
Heiskanen–Harley5:380.14–0.175:390.20–0.622:280.18–0.140:560.00–0.191:050.00–0.088:400.20–0.635:420.15–0.581:570.14–0.000:340.00–0.00
Tanev–Lindell5:300.15–0.162:320.03–0.052:570.36–0.051:080.09–0.030:490.00–0.002:420.00–0.028:520.62–0.242:260.33–0.030:350.00–0.00
Suter–Lundkvist1:440.00–0.483:380.11–0.005:150.07–0.090:390.00–0.006:110.06–0.031:430.00–0.045:110.18–0.57
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPavelski FRobertson FHintz FMarchment FSeguin FDuchene FBenn FStankoven FJohnston FFaksa FSmith FSteel FHeiskanen DHarley DLindell DTanev DSuter DLundkvist DOettinger GO'Connor FRust FCrosby FMalkin FBunting FRakell FSmith FEller FPuustinen FPuljujarvi FBemstrom FAcciari FLetang DJoseph DKarlsson DPettersson DSt. Ivany DLudvig DJarry GNedeljkovic G
DALPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2825:430:552:3133
Erik KarlssonPIT2825:170:542:5443
Miro HeiskanenDAL2822:320:481:1354
Esa LindellDAL2822:230:482:0606
Marcus PetterssonPIT2321:450:572:0824
Thomas HarleyDAL2821:130:451:3145
Bryan RustPIT2420:560:522:5741
Sidney CrosbyPIT2620:440:482:5951
Chris TanevDAL2820:430:441:5206
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2619:280:451:1843
Michael BuntingPIT2118:260:532:5351
Evgeni MalkinPIT2218:000:492:2451
Jason RobertsonDAL2117:520:511:1824
Lars EllerPIT2117:220:502:1915
Ryan SuterDAL2416:370:421:2141
Roope HintzDAL2316:340:431:1824
Matt DucheneDAL1916:260:521:5731
Tyler SeguinDAL2016:240:492:0741
Mason MarchmentDAL1916:180:511:5841
Joe PavelskiDAL2116:170:471:1823
Drew O'ConnorPIT2115:400:451:1822
Reilly SmithPIT2015:320:471:0924
Nils LundkvistDAL2314:320:381:3032
Sam SteelDAL1914:290:461:5313
Rickard RakellPIT1914:240:451:0951
Logan StankovenDAL1814:050:471:1614
Wyatt JohnstonDAL1913:560:441:1024
Jamie BennDAL1913:430:431:0634
Valtteri PuustinenPIT1713:160:471:1411
Radek FaksaDAL1912:310:401:5213
Jack St. IvanyPIT2012:280:371:0422
John LudvigPIT2011:460:351:1022
Noel AcciariPIT2011:430:351:3017
Craig SmithDAL149:300:411:2111
Jesse PuljujarviPIT159:090:371:2213
Emil BemstromPIT148:270:361:1813