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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 23, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Away

Edmonton Oilers

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Knies: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Edmundson, Nylander, Liljegren, Knies · EDM Henrique, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Foegele, Desharnais, McLeod

  3. P1 1:40Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Samsonov4v5
  4. P1 2:09Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov4v5
  5. P1 2:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 4:17Goal by McMann (Tavares, Liljegren)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Liljegren, McMann · EDM Carrick, Brown, Janmark, Nurse, Desharnais

  7. P1 4:45Shot by Ekholm, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 7:03Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 7:27Shot by Bouchard, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 7:29Shot by Ekholm, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 8:24Shot by Knies, saved by Skinner
  12. P1 8:25Shot by Knies, saved by Skinner
  13. P1 9:57Shot by Gregor, saved by Skinner
  14. P1 10:43Shot by McMann, saved by Skinner
  15. P1 11:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Skinner
  16. P1 14:47Tavares: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, McMann · EDM Kane, Hyman, Nurse, McDavid, Bouchard

  17. P1 16:57Nurse: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Timmins, Kampf · EDM Perry, Henrique, Kane, Ekholm, Nurse

  18. P1 17:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Skinner5v4
  19. P1 18:14Goal by Nylander (Liljegren)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Domi, Nylander, Matthews, Liljegren · EDM Ekholm, Brown, Janmark, Desharnais

  20. P1 18:33Kane: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gregor, Timmins, Kampf, Dewar, Benoit · EDM Kane, Ceci, Kulak, Foegele, McLeod

  21. P1 19:15Shot by Tavares, saved by Skinner5v4
  22. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner5v4
  25. P2 0:55Shot by Dewar, saved by Skinner
  26. P2 1:52Shot by Kane, saved by Samsonov
  27. P2 2:04Shot by Edmundson, saved by Skinner
  28. P2 3:12Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 3:59Shot by Dewar, saved by Skinner
  30. P2 4:05Shot by Dewar, saved by Skinner
  31. P2 4:35Shot by Kulak, saved by Samsonov
  32. P2 5:18Shot by Henrique, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 5:48Shot by Brown, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 6:18Shot by Gregor, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 8:02Goal by Holmberg (Domi, Matthews)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, Domi, Matthews, Liljegren, Holmberg · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Foegele, McLeod, Bouchard

  36. P2 8:17Shot by Kulak, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 8:50Timmins: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Matthews, Timmins, Liljegren, Kampf, Dewar · EDM Henrique, Ceci, Nurse, Foegele, McLeod

  38. P2 9:24Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Samsonov4v5
  39. P2 9:26Draisaitl: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, McCabe, Kampf, Dewar · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  40. P2 9:26Edmundson: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, McCabe, Kampf, Dewar · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  41. P2 10:45Shot by Bouchard, saved by Samsonov4v5
  42. P2 11:04Goal by Holmberg (McMann, Rielly)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Matthews, Holmberg, McMann · EDM Perry, Henrique, Kane, Nurse, McLeod

  43. P2 11:18Shot by Brown, saved by Samsonov
  44. P2 11:42Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner
  45. P2 11:44Shot by Edmundson, saved by Skinner
  46. P2 13:11Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 15:00Shot by Perry, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 15:00Shot by Perry, saved by Samsonov
  49. P2 15:46Goal by McMann (Nylander, Tavares)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, McMann · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  50. P2 16:24Shot by Ceci, saved by Samsonov
  51. P2 16:44Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  52. P2 17:31Shot by Gregor, saved by Skinner
  53. P2 18:00Shot by Bouchard, saved by Samsonov
  54. P2 18:32Shot by Edmundson, saved by Skinner
  55. P2 0:00Nurse: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf, Dewar · EDM Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid

  56. P2 0:00Nurse: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf, Dewar · EDM Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid

  57. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:41Shot by McLeod, saved by Samsonov5v4
  60. P3 2:33Shot by Gregor, saved by Pickard
  61. P3 2:56Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Samsonov
  62. P3 3:21Timmins: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson · EDM Perry, Ceci, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  63. P3 4:09Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Samsonov4v5
  64. P3 4:21Shot by Bouchard, saved by Samsonov4v5
  65. P3 4:59Goal by Hyman (McDavid, Bouchard)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Liljegren, Benoit, McMann · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  66. P3 5:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Pickard
  67. P3 6:35Dewar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Edmundson, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf, Dewar · EDM Perry, Henrique, Ekholm, Ceci, Janmark

  68. P3 8:07Shot by McMann, saved by Pickard4v5
  69. P3 8:32Goal by Perry (Kane, McDavid)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liljegren, Kampf, Benoit, McMann · EDM Perry, Kane, Ceci, Kulak, McDavid

  70. P3 8:41Shot by Kane, saved by Samsonov
  71. P3 8:58Shot by Knies, saved by Pickard
  72. P3 12:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Pickard
  73. P3 12:36Janmark: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Domi, Matthews, Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit · EDM Carrick, Brown, Janmark, Nurse, Desharnais

  74. P3 12:36Domi: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Domi, Matthews, Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit · EDM Carrick, Brown, Janmark, Nurse, Desharnais

  75. P3 12:49Shot by Ekholm, saved by Samsonov
  76. P3 13:15Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  77. P3 13:22Shot by Kulak, saved by Samsonov
  78. P3 13:41Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  79. P3 16:05Shot by McDavid, saved by Samsonov5v6
  80. P3 16:21Goal by Draisaitl (McDavid, Bouchard)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Edmundson, Nylander, Benoit, Knies · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  81. P3 17:00Shot by Bouchard, saved by Jones5v6
  82. P3 17:01Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Jones5v6
  83. P3 18:47Shot by Perry, saved by Jones5v6
  84. P3 19:05Shot by Perry, saved by Jones5v6
  85. P3 19:37Shot by Ekholm, saved by Jones5v6
  86. P3 19:47Goal by Matthews, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Holmberg · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final