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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 23, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavidPerry–Henrique–KaneCarrick–Brown–JanmarkNugent-Hopkins–Foegele–McLeodHyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavidDraisaitl–Foegele–McLeodEkholm–BouchardCeci–KulakNurse–DesharnaisCeci–NurseKulak–DesharnaisEkholm–CeciCeci–BouchardCeci–Desharnais
Gregor–Kampf–Dewar1:160.00–0.091:130.01–0.000:360.01–0.081:040.01–0.000:540.00–0.080:300.00–0.121:230.01–0.172:070.08–0.161:380.02–0.150:330.00–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–McMann2:580.15–0.051:190.05–0.120:300.00–0.035:440.20–0.08
Domi–Matthews–Knies0:420.00–0.080:330.07–0.021:300.22–0.101:490.00–0.042:490.26–0.051:090.03–0.100:330.00–0.02
Domi–Matthews–Holmberg2:080.00–0.000:350.23–0.010:350.00–0.100:510.00–0.010:550.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:330.07–0.000:330.00–0.000:350.00–0.10
Reaves–Holmberg–Robertson1:390.02–0.080:450.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:370.02–0.001:410.00–0.00
Matthews–Holmberg–Knies0:570.00–0.030:430.00–0.03
Reaves–Dewar–Robertson0:400.00–0.110:360.06–0.000:400.00–0.11
Rielly–McCabe5:140.07–0.301:120.01–0.001:010.00–0.001:230.00–0.020:410.00–0.110:340.00–0.106:230.07–0.361:540.00–0.061:410.01–0.160:300.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:340.00–0.10
Edmundson–Liljegren1:170.09–0.163:190.12–0.161:300.19–0.001:430.25–0.040:460.00–0.000:300.00–0.123:060.36–0.113:000.20–0.152:000.01–0.030:320.00–0.050:400.06–0.00
Timmins–Benoit1:280.00–0.272:050.04–0.102:120.00–0.021:030.00–0.022:080.09–0.282:580.03–0.100:460.00–0.02
Edmundson–Rielly0:370.00–0.000:340.09–0.00
McCabe–Liljegren0:560.01–0.080:450.01–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDomi FKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FDewar FKampf FHolmberg FMcMann FGregor FRobertson FReaves FMcCabe DRielly DEdmundson DLiljegren DBenoit DTimmins DSamsonov GJones GHyman FDraisaitl FMcDavid FNugent-Hopkins FMcLeod FFoegele FHenrique FPerry FKane FBrown FJanmark FCarrick FNurse DDesharnais DBouchard DEkholm DCeci DKulak DSkinner GPickard G
TOREDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Evan BouchardEDM2028:261:253:5470
Jake McCabeTOR3023:530:481:5027
Connor McDavidEDM1923:301:143:0382
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2323:041:001:4484
Mattias EkholmEDM2222:541:023:2352
Joel EdmundsonTOR2822:530:492:5637
Zach HymanEDM2022:211:072:5891
Timothy LiljegrenTOR3021:310:431:1755
Leon DraisaitlEDM2021:291:043:1593
Morgan RiellyTOR2520:560:501:4612
William NylanderTOR2119:240:552:0725
Auston MatthewsTOR2119:070:551:4651
David KampfTOR2219:060:521:4405
Cody CeciEDM2217:280:481:4525
Connor DewarTOR1916:210:521:4223
John TavaresTOR1916:070:511:2732
Bobby McMannTOR2016:060:481:4215
Pontus HolmbergTOR1915:390:491:4424
Darnell NurseEDM2315:380:411:1735
Evander KaneEDM1815:210:511:3851
Max DomiTOR1814:490:491:2660
Simon BenoitTOR2514:480:361:1944
Vincent DesharnaisEDM2014:030:421:2626
Adam HenriqueEDM2013:190:401:0541
Brett KulakEDM2113:180:381:2123
Conor TimminsTOR2413:160:331:1441
Corey PerryEDM1713:010:461:1942
Warren FoegeleEDM1812:350:421:2822
Ryan McLeodEDM1812:330:421:0522
Matthew KniesTOR1511:580:482:3432
Connor BrownEDM1511:530:481:1603
Mattias JanmarkEDM1310:090:471:1603
Noah GregorTOR139:510:451:5201
Nick RobertsonTOR139:020:421:1622
Sam CarrickEDM148:210:361:0006
Ryan ReavesTOR95:380:381:1622