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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 23, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Edmonton Oilers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Evan BouchardD · #2022−2528:260.3037.4%+1.2
Connor McDavidC · #97033−1123:300.2372.2%+2.2
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #93000−1123:040.3422.0%0.0
Mattias EkholmD · #14000−2422:540.1850.5%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #18101−1422:210.5344.8%+0.4
Leon DraisaitlC · #29101−1521:290.5471.5%+0.8
Cody CeciD · #50000117:280.0567.1%0.0
Darnell NurseD · #25000−2015:380.0665.9%0.0
Evander KaneLW · #91011−1215:210.2854.3%+1.0
Vincent DesharnaisD · #73000−1014:030.0054.5%0.0
Adam HenriqueC · #19000−1113:190.1240.0%0.0
Brett KulakD · #270000313:180.1135.4%0.0
Corey PerryRW · #90101−1513:010.3859.6%+1.0
Warren FoegeleLW · #37000−1412:350.3252.9%0.0
Ryan McLeodC · #71000−2112:330.0736.7%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #28000−1211:530.0533.5%0.0
Mattias JanmarkC · #13000−1010:090.1026.0%0.0
Sam CarrickC · #39000−108:210.0036.6%0.0
Calvin Pickard#30–5501.0000.66+0.715:40
Stuart Skinner#74L23185.7832.14−2.939:40

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake McCabeD · #22000+3023:530.0131.8%0.0
Joel EdmundsonD · #200000322:530.0874.4%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37022+2021:310.0059.9%+29.4
Morgan RiellyD · #44011+3020:560.1040.8%+2.7
William NylanderRW · #88112+2319:240.4749.8%+13.8
Auston MatthewsC · #34112+3419:070.7365.1%+7.0
David KampfC · #640000019:060.0655.2%0.0
Connor DewarC · #240000316:210.1548.3%0.0
John TavaresC · #91022+1216:070.1940.0%+17.7
Bobby McMannC · #74213+3416:060.3848.1%+20.4
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29202+3215:390.3264.3%+9.7
Max DomiC · #11011+1014:490.0364.3%+7.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000−1014:480.0056.5%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #25000+1013:160.0134.6%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−1311:580.2653.6%0.0
Noah GregorLW · #18000049:510.4639.2%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000019:020.0344.1%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000005:380.0027.9%0.0
Martin Jones#31–5501.0000.71+0.73:39
Ilya Samsonov#35W34313.9122.95−0.156:21