Sat, Mar 23, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
48%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 28:26 | 0.30 | 37.4% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 1 | 23:30 | 0.23 | 72.2% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.34 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:54 | 0.18 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:21 | 0.53 | 44.8% | +0.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:29 | 0.54 | 71.5% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.05 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.06 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.28 | 54.3% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.12 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:18 | 0.11 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 13:01 | 0.38 | 59.6% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:35 | 0.32 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.07 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:53 | 0.05 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.10 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:21 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
| – | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.66 | +0.7 | 15:40 | |
| L | 23 | 18 | 5 | .783 | 2.14 | −2.9 | 39:40 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.01 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:53 | 0.08 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 59.9% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:56 | 0.10 | 40.8% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:24 | 0.47 | 49.8% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.73 | 65.1% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.06 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.15 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.19 | 40.0% | +17.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 16:06 | 0.38 | 48.1% | +20.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.32 | 64.3% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.03 | 64.3% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.01 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:58 | 0.26 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:51 | 0.46 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:02 | 0.03 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:38 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.71 | +0.7 | 3:39 | |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.95 | −0.1 | 56:21 |