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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 24, 2024·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Goal by Skjei (Staal, Martinook)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Skjei, Teravainen, Martinook, Pesce · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Matthews

  3. P1 1:10Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  4. P1 1:54Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  5. P1 2:24Shot by Knies, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:26Shot by Robertson, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:37Shot by McMann, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:52Shot by Chatfield, saved by Woll
  9. P1 5:04Svechnikov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Kuznetsov, Chatfield, Necas, Svechnikov · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, Dewar

  10. P1 5:55Shot by Liljegren, saved by Andersen4v5
  11. P1 7:07Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 8:27Kampf: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Kuznetsov, Skjei, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, Dewar

  13. P1 8:38Shot by Jarvis, saved by Woll5v4
  14. P1 8:39Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll5v4
  15. P1 8:41Edmundson: Penalty shot covering puck in crease (0 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Burns, Guentzel, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · TOR Edmundson, McCabe, Nylander, Dewar

  16. P1 8:41Shot by Guentzel, saved by Wollother
  17. P1 8:57Shot by Burns, saved by Woll5v4
  18. P1 9:09Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll5v4
  19. P1 10:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen5v4
  20. P1 10:27Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  21. P1 10:29Shot by Noesen, saved by Woll
  22. P1 11:08Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  23. P1 11:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 12:46Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Woll
  25. P1 12:50Holmberg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Kuznetsov, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov · TOR Rielly, Lyubushkin, Holmberg, Robertson, Knies

  26. P1 13:55Goal by Aho (Guentzel, Burns)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Guentzel, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · TOR Edmundson, McCabe, Kampf, Dewar

  27. P1 17:04Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  28. P1 17:05Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll
  29. P1 19:15Burns: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Teravainen, Martinook, Slavin · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Matthews

  30. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen4v5
  33. P2 1:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 2:12Shot by Noesen, saved by Woll
  35. P2 3:39Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll
  36. P2 3:44Shot by Staal, saved by Woll
  37. P2 4:44Shot by Kampf, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 5:50Shot by Edmundson, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 6:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 6:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 8:35Shot by Liljegren, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 8:51Shot by Skjei, saved by Woll
  43. P2 9:14Shot by Pesce, saved by Woll
  44. P2 10:33Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll
  45. P2 11:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 11:39Shot by Skjei, saved by Woll
  47. P2 12:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 12:50Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll
  49. P2 13:31Shot by Pesce, saved by Woll
  50. P2 13:47Shot by Holmberg, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 14:14Robertson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Noesen, Skjei, Pesce, Aho, Drury · TOR Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Robertson, Knies

  52. P2 15:37Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll5v4
  53. P2 15:42Shot by Necas, saved by Woll5v4
  54. P2 16:22Shot by Skjei, saved by Woll
  55. P2 16:56Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll
  56. P2 18:24Shot by Orlov, saved by Woll
  57. P2 18:46Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll
  58. P2 19:11Svechnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Kuznetsov, Slavin, Necas, Svechnikov · TOR Edmundson, Gregor, Kampf, Lyubushkin, McMann

  59. P2 19:18Shot by Liljegren, saved by Andersen4v5
  60. P2 19:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen4v5
  61. P2 19:58Shot by Domi, saved by Andersen4v5
  62. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:26Shot by Staal, saved by Woll4v5
  65. P3 0:35Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll4v5
  66. P3 2:32Shot by Noesen, saved by Woll
  67. P3 2:43Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll
  68. P3 6:23Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll
  69. P3 7:06Shot by Liljegren, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 8:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  71. P3 8:04Shot by Chatfield, saved by Woll
  72. P3 8:32Shot by Knies, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 8:51Goal by Robertson (Matthews)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Kuznetsov, Skjei, Teravainen, Drury · TOR Edmundson, Matthews, Liljegren, Robertson, Knies

  74. P3 10:55Shot by Orlov, saved by Woll
  75. P3 11:44Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Woll
  76. P3 12:07Shot by Knies, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 12:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 12:49Shot by Martinook, saved by Woll
  79. P3 13:27Shot by Jarvis, saved by Woll
  80. P3 13:35Shot by Domi, saved by Andersen
  81. P3 15:48Shot by Domi, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 16:05Shot by Kampf, saved by Andersen
  83. P3 16:23Shot by Burns, saved by Woll
  84. P3 16:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen
  85. P3 16:45Burns: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Guentzel, Aho, Jarvis · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Liljegren

  86. P3 17:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen4v6
  87. P3 19:25Shot by McMann, saved by Andersen5v6
  88. P3 19:26Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen5v6
  89. P3 19:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen5v6
  90. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  91. P3 0:00Final5v6