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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 24, 2024·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bertuzzi–Domi–MatthewsTavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderTavares–Nylander–McMannHolmberg–Robertson–KniesDomi–Matthews–HolmbergGregor–Kampf–DewarGregor–Kampf–McMannDewar–Robertson–KniesBrodie–McCabeRielly–LyubushkinEdmundson–LiljegrenRielly–LiljegrenRielly–McCabeEdmundson–Rielly
Guentzel–Aho–Jarvis0:500.00–0.004:580.37–0.204:370.06–0.482:550.42–0.052:330.01–0.282:360.00–0.112:050.06–0.160:370.05–0.00
Staal–Teravainen–Martinook4:030.50–0.010:320.14–0.000:570.14–0.002:380.02–0.012:520.54–0.002:180.18–0.011:210.00–0.000:490.00–0.01
Kuznetsov–Necas–Svechnikov3:200.27–0.261:470.06–0.243:470.25–0.252:150.18–0.230:480.02–0.04
Noesen–Kotkaniemi–Drury3:310.07–0.290:360.02–0.001:000.04–0.001:420.05–0.051:290.04–0.001:370.07–0.240:450.14–0.00
Skjei–Pesce1:520.38–0.392:100.26–0.072:160.06–0.143:140.07–0.062:380.00–0.181:050.05–0.264:320.72–0.533:010.05–0.232:510.03–0.152:350.08–0.12
Burns–Slavin3:230.12–0.012:150.20–0.132:310.14–0.340:300.04–0.001:120.02–0.100:450.02–0.001:080.15–0.003:330.20–0.054:130.28–0.342:140.04–0.000:380.00–0.131:050.11–0.050:310.07–0.00
Orlov–Chatfield1:030.00–0.021:290.05–0.000:480.00–0.001:240.11–0.242:160.23–0.001:430.03–0.240:470.00–0.025:180.34–0.272:250.09–0.002:010.02–0.241:170.14–0.02
Orlov–Slavin
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndAho FJarvis FGuentzel FMartinook FTeravainen FStaal FSvechnikov FNecas FKuznetsov FDrury FNoesen FKotkaniemi FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce DOrlov DChatfield DAndersen GMcMann FNylander FTavares FMatthews FDomi FBertuzzi FGregor FDewar FKampf FRobertson FKnies FHolmberg FEdmundson DLiljegren DMcCabe DBrodie DRielly DLyubushkin DWoll G
CARTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2624:100:561:5243
Auston MatthewsTOR2423:280:593:1543
Seth JarvisCAR2722:570:511:3456
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2922:440:471:2962
Sebastian AhoCAR2622:200:522:0632
Brady SkjeiCAR2522:160:531:5517
William NylanderTOR2421:540:553:1483
Brett PesceCAR2421:520:551:5616
Jake McCabeTOR2621:220:492:1636
Max DomiTOR2321:120:552:3643
John TavaresTOR2321:120:553:1482
Jaccob SlavinCAR2321:060:551:3622
Brent BurnsCAR2321:040:551:3631
Jake GuentzelCAR2017:290:521:3161
Dmitry OrlovCAR1817:290:581:3541
TJ BrodieTOR2617:060:391:1937
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2517:020:411:2644
Tyler BertuzziTOR2016:400:501:1743
Jordan StaalCAR2415:280:391:0837
Joel EdmundsonTOR2114:500:421:2504
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1514:380:592:5040
Pontus HolmbergTOR1713:450:491:1834
Jordan MartinookCAR1913:380:431:0733
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2013:050:390:5914
Bobby McMannTOR1912:420:401:0334
Evgeny KuznetsovCAR1712:410:451:2940
Martin NecasCAR1712:310:441:3040
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1612:230:461:2331
Connor DewarTOR1611:460:441:3905
David KampfTOR1811:350:391:2817
Nick RobertsonTOR1510:440:431:0932
Matthew KniesTOR1210:080:511:0912
Jack DruryCAR139:390:451:1942
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR119:100:501:1642
Stefan NoesenCAR129:000:451:0952
Noah GregorTOR148:490:381:1913