Sun, Mar 24, 2024·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 68% of the time.
61%
26%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:10 | 0.01 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23:28 | 0.78 | 44.5% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 22:44 | 0.12 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:54 | 0.38 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.02 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:12 | 0.34 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.19 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.35 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.01 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.04 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.71 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.01 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.17 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:44 | 0.18 | 50.7% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:08 | 0.22 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.08 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 43 | 41 | 2 | .953 | 4.89 | +2.9 | 57:43 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.74 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:20 | 0.15 | 40.3% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:16 | 0.12 | 50.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.06 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:06 | 0.16 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:04 | 0.10 | 54.7% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.71 | 42.4% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.21 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.02 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.64 | 86.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:38 | 0.63 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:38 | 0.39 | 60.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.15 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:31 | 0.37 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.05 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.01 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:00 | 0.40 | 72.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.59 | +2.6 | 59:17 |