Sat, Mar 30, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:38Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 2:36Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
- P1 3:02Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 4:58Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Timmins)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Clifton, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Benson · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Benoit, McMann
- P1 5:40Shot by Girgensons, saved by Samsonov
- P1 5:41Shot by Olofsson, saved by Samsonov
- P1 6:02Shot by Olofsson, saved by Samsonov
- P1 6:33Dewar: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Clifton, Thompson, Bryson, Krebs, Quinn · TOR Giordano, Reaves, Timmins, Kampf, Dewar
- P1 7:11Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov5v4
- P1 8:47Dewar: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Power · TOR Giordano, Kampf, Dewar, Benoit, McMann
- P1 10:34Shot by Power, saved by Samsonov5v4
- P1 11:06Shot by Timmins, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 12:37Shot by Peterka, saved by Samsonov
- P1 12:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
- P1 14:28Shot by McMann, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 14:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 17:11Clifton: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Clifton, Olofsson, Jost, Bryson, Peterka · TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Holmberg, Benoit
- P1 18:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P1 18:28Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov4v5
- P1 18:44Shot by Benson, saved by Samsonov4v5
- P1 19:27Shot by Robertson, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:23Shot by Peterka, saved by Samsonov
- P2 2:34Goal by Robertson (Knies)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Clifton, Bryson, Krebs, Quinn · TOR McCabe, Timmins, Holmberg, Robertson, Knies
- P2 3:43Shot by Peterka, saved by Samsonov
- P2 4:12Shot by Domi, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 4:20Shot by Giordano, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 4:55Benson: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Greenway, Dahlin, Cozens, Power, Benson · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Benoit, McMann
- P2 5:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 6:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 8:00Shot by Giordano, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 9:19Matthews: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Greenway, Jokiharju, Byram, Cozens, Benson · TOR Brodie, Bertuzzi, Domi, Matthews, Lyubushkin
- P2 10:41Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov5v4
- P2 11:29Shot by Power, saved by Samsonov
- P2 13:04Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov
- P2 14:28McCabe: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Clifton, Greenway, Bryson, Cozens, Benson · TOR McCabe, Kampf, Dewar, Holmberg, Benoit
- P2 15:29Shot by Peterka, saved by Samsonov5v4
- P2 17:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Samsonov
- P2 17:34Shot by Olofsson, saved by Samsonov
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:10Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov
- P3 0:34Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov
- P3 0:53Shot by Greenway, saved by Samsonov
- P3 3:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 3:36Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov
- P3 3:41Shot by Timmins, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 4:03Shot by Peterka, saved by Samsonov
- P3 4:50Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 5:05Shot by Timmins, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 5:18Shot by Jost, saved by Samsonov
- P3 5:42Benoit: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Jost, Bryson, Krebs · TOR McCabe, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson, Knies
- P3 6:12Shot by Thompson, saved by Samsonov5v4
- P3 7:01Shot by Greenway, saved by Samsonov5v4
- P3 7:26Shot by Tuch, saved by Samsonov5v4
- P3 7:44Skinner: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Power · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Kampf, Dewar, Benoit
- P3 9:29Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov4v5
- P3 9:42Shot by McCabe, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 9:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Samsonov
- P3 9:52Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov
- P3 12:04Shot by McCabe, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 13:47Shot by Benson, saved by Samsonov
- P3 14:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 14:23Goal by Matthews (Timmins)+2 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Byram, Peterka · TOR Giordano, Bertuzzi, Domi, Matthews, Timmins
- P3 15:39Shot by Cozens, saved by Samsonov
- P3 16:07Shot by Peterka, saved by Samsonov6v5
- P3 16:08Shot by Greenway, saved by Samsonov6v5
- P3 16:13McCabe: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Reaves, Brodie, McCabe, Kampf, Dewar
- P3 19:04Dahlin: Boarding (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Giordano: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Dahlin: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Brodie: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Thompson: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Bertuzzi: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Power: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Matthews: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Tuch: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04McMann: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Greenway: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 19:04Peterka: Misconduct (10 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka, Power · TOR Giordano, Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, McMann
- P3 0:00Cozens: Slashing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Bryson, Cozens · TOR Reaves, Dewar, Holmberg, Benoit, Knies
- P3 0:00Period end3v5
- P3 0:00Final3v5