Sat, Mar 30, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.
57%
10%
25%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.01 | 9.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.05 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:26 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.19 | 89.5% | +15.1 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.05 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:21 | 0.61 | 81.1% | +2.4 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.04 | 89.1% | +17.5 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.15 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.06 | 87.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.31 | 77.9% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.11 | 51.3% | +15.1 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 43.2% | +15.7 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.25 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:51 | 0.19 | 29.5% | +15.7 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:01 | 0.00 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 34 | 34 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.97 | +3.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:49 | 0.04 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:42 | 0.19 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:51 | 0.15 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:42 | 0.71 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.17 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:30 | 0.31 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:33 | 0.40 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.06 | 79.6% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.23 | 23.7% | 0.0 |
 Connor CliftonD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:35 | 0.27 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:21 | 0.15 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:05 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:28 | 0.18 | 51.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyson JostC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:47 | 0.11 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:48 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.03 | −1.0 | 56:48 |