Sat, Mar 30, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Buffalo Sabres 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 67% of the time.
57%
10%
25%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bertuzzi–Domi–Matthews | Reaves–Kampf–Dewar | Holmberg–Robertson–Knies | Tavares–Nylander–McMann | Tavares–Nylander–Knies | McCabe–Benoit | Brodie–Lyubushkin | Giordano–Timmins | Lyubushkin–Benoit | Timmins–Benoit | Giordano–Brodie | Brodie–McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Peterka | 5:340.18–0.44 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:490.02–0.13 | 3:120.35–0.13 | 2:460.05–0.00 | 1:080.02–0.39 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||
| Girgensons–Olofsson–Jost | 0:330.02–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.06 | 3:050.29–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.03 | 2:430.02–0.05 | 2:070.27–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.03 | ||||
| Greenway–Cozens–Benson | 1:040.04–0.00 | 2:310.00–0.10 | 2:300.09–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.10 | |||||||
| Skinner–Krebs–Quinn | 1:320.01–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.15 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Skinner–Greenway–Krebs | 0:490.00–0.11 | 0:300.06–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:320.06–0.11 | ||||||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Benson | 0:460.00–0.09 | 1:020.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Girgensons–Olofsson–Krebs | 1:210.02–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:480.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Skinner–Thompson–Peterka | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Thompson–Quinn–Peterka | ||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 3:090.13–0.11 | 2:090.00–0.00 | 2:240.04–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.13 | 5:210.17–0.13 | 3:120.00–0.00 | 2:040.03–0.13 | |||||
| Jokiharju–Byram | 3:030.05–0.83 | 1:430.00–0.06 | 1:040.33–0.00 | 3:020.02–0.12 | 1:230.22–0.05 | 3:550.32–0.02 | 3:050.08–0.88 | 0:360.27–0.01 | ||||
| Clifton–Bryson | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:100.07–0.00 | 2:350.02–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.03 | 2:510.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.03 | |||
| Byram–Power | 0:370.01–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:480.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 0:470.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 25:49 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 9 | 1 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 27 | 25:42 | 0:57 | 1:42 | 5 | 3 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 28 | 22:59 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 3 | 10 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 22:51 | 1:00 | 1:46 | 8 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 32 | 21:49 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 2 | 6 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 21:42 | 0:59 | 1:46 | 8 | 2 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 24 | 21:31 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 4 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 21:05 | 1:00 | 1:46 | 7 | 2 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 20 | 20:30 | 1:02 | 2:01 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 24 | 19:33 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 31 | 19:26 | 0:38 | 1:45 | 3 | 1 |
 Ilya LyubushkinTOR | 27 | 18:34 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 21 | 18:24 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 18:09 | 0:54 | 2:00 | 4 | 4 |
 David KampfTOR | 21 | 17:59 | 0:51 | 1:54 | 1 | 6 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 19 | 16:21 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 21 | 16:01 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 4 | 6 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 21 | 15:57 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 3 | 5 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 23 | 15:39 | 0:41 | 1:50 | 0 | 8 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 22 | 15:24 | 0:42 | 1:42 | 2 | 6 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 17 | 15:14 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 16 | 14:21 | 0:54 | 1:51 | 0 | 2 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 17 | 14:10 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 16 | 13:53 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 4 | 3 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 17 | 13:15 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 15 | 12:57 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 19 | 12:47 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 1 | 5 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 17 | 12:35 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 12:18 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 14 | 10:51 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 12 | 10:21 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 0 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 17 | 10:05 | 0:36 | 0:56 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 14 | 10:01 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 3 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 16 | 9:28 | 0:36 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 13 | 8:47 | 0:41 | 0:57 | 0 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 11 | 7:48 | 0:43 | 1:02 | 4 | 1 |