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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 3, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 4:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:23Hagel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander · TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Hagel, Chaffee

  5. P1 5:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  6. P1 10:03Goal by Hedman (Kucherov, Hagel)5v6+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Matthews, Benoit · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  7. P1 10:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 11:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 11:12Shot by Paul, saved by Woll
  10. P1 11:13Shot by Paul, saved by Woll
  11. P1 11:26Brodie: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Bertuzzi, Domi, Timmins, Kampf · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Cernak, Eyssimont, Chaffee

  12. P1 12:30Shot by McMann, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  13. P1 15:08Shot by Jeannot, saved by Woll
  14. P1 16:25McMann: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Benoit, McMann · TBL Kucherov, Paul, Fleury, Cernak, Eyssimont, Chaffee

  15. P1 18:57Glendening: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Matthews, Benoit · TBL Glendening, Dumba, Motte, Cernak, Lilleberg

  16. P1 19:00Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Tavares)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Domi, Nylander, Matthews · TBL Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  17. P1 19:28Shot by Dewar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 19:33Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 19:36Shot by Reaves, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 19:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:23Hagel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bertuzzi, Domi, Matthews, Lyubushkin · TBL Stamkos, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  24. P2 0:27Shot by Motte, saved by Woll5v4
  25. P2 0:55Shot by Paul, saved by Woll5v4
  26. P2 2:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  27. P2 2:14Shot by Dumba, saved by Woll5v4
  28. P2 2:39Shot by Raddysh, saved by Woll
  29. P2 2:54Goal by Point (Kucherov, Duclair)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Kampf, Lyubushkin, Dewar · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh

  30. P2 4:01Shot by Domi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 4:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 5:15Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 5:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 7:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 8:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Woll
  36. P2 8:47Goal by Stamkos (Hagel, Fleury)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson, Knies · TBL Stamkos, Fleury, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  37. P2 9:31Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 10:48Shot by Timmins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 11:02Glendening: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Bertuzzi, Matthews, Timmins, Lyubushkin · TBL Glendening, Motte, Fleury, Cernak, Jeannot

  40. P2 11:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  41. P2 12:07Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  42. P2 13:25Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 14:27Shot by McMann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 15:22Shot by Motte, saved by Woll
  45. P2 17:33Shot by Point, saved by Woll
  46. P2 17:50Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 18:04Shot by Domi, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 18:16Duclair: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Kampf, Benoit · TBL Kucherov, Glendening, Duclair, Fleury, Cernak

  49. P2 18:16Benoit: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Kampf, Benoit · TBL Kucherov, Glendening, Duclair, Fleury, Cernak

  50. P2 18:40Shot by Fleury, saved by Woll4v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:15Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  54. P3 1:41Shot by Raddysh, saved by Woll
  55. P3 2:41Shot by Jeannot, saved by Woll
  56. P3 3:10Jeannot: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Timmins, Kampf, Dewar · TBL Glendening, Motte, Fleury, Cernak, Jeannot

  57. P3 3:10Reaves: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Brodie, Timmins, Kampf, Dewar · TBL Glendening, Motte, Fleury, Cernak, Jeannot

  58. P3 3:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Woll
  59. P3 4:28Shot by Point, saved by Woll
  60. P3 4:56Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:46Timmins: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Timmins, Holmberg, Robertson, Knies · TBL Paul, Fleury, Cernak, Eyssimont, Chaffee

  62. P3 6:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll4v5
  63. P3 7:21Shot by Point, saved by Woll4v5
  64. P3 7:49Shot by Kucherov, saved by Woll
  65. P3 8:50Shot by Fleury, saved by Woll
  66. P3 9:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll
  67. P3 14:19Goal by Paul (Raddysh, Kucherov)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Timmins, Robertson · TBL Dumba, Paul, Eyssimont, Chaffee, Lilleberg

  68. P3 19:46Shot by Knies, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 19:50Shot by Reaves, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 19:51Shot by Fleury, saved by Woll
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final