Wed, Apr 3, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
8%
44%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:39 | 0.09 | 63.2% | +16.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.00 | 54.2% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 |
 Haydn FleuryD · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:06 | 0.20 | 54.2% | +16.2 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.14 | 52.2% | +32.2 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.34 | 57.0% | +35.3 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:57 | 0.27 | 34.9% | +2.3 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.15 | 63.0% | +2.3 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.26 | 57.1% | +16.2 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:50 | 1.05 | 60.3% | +17.0 |
 Mathew DumbaD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.04 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MotteC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.03 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.01 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 57.8% | +17.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.08 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:14 | 0.16 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.65 | +1.6 | 59:38 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:14 | 0.06 | 37.2% | +17.9 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 21:41 | 0.35 | 38.2% | +17.9 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:04 | 0.48 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.01 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.07 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.49 | 63.5% | +17.9 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.14 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.21 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.10 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.03 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.20 | 70.7% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.03 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.02 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.10 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:24 | 0.36 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.83 | −1.2 | 60:00 |