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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 3, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Cirelli–HagelPaul–Eyssimont–ChaffeeKucherov–Duclair–PointGlendening–Motte–JeannotGlendening–Motte–EyssimontKucherov–Point–HagelFleury–CernakDumba–LillebergHedman–RaddyshHedman–CernakFleury–RaddyshHedman–DumbaRaddysh–Lilleberg
Bertuzzi–Domi–Matthews5:490.24–0.171:000.14–0.002:090.10–0.621:050.00–0.000:390.01–0.005:560.36–0.320:320.00–0.003:100.11–0.471:020.01–0.00
Holmberg–Robertson–Knies0:540.00–0.073:200.03–0.000:590.00–0.001:370.00–0.060:560.00–0.005:470.03–0.061:380.00–0.000:300.00–0.07
Tavares–Nylander–McMann1:170.00–0.001:340.00–0.003:330.35–0.111:050.05–0.032:240.01–0.001:410.22–0.003:260.15–0.110:460.00–0.00
Reaves–Kampf–Dewar1:340.00–0.000:580.17–0.181:300.04–0.103:420.33–0.100:470.01–0.000:340.03–0.000:380.17–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Robertson0:430.00–0.08
McCabe–Benoit2:030.05–0.072:210.01–0.005:440.59–0.541:560.03–0.152:040.18–0.004:570.25–0.390:470.01–0.000:430.17–0.00
Brodie–Timmins1:570.17–0.043:590.17–0.302:240.00–0.104:540.61–0.442:270.02–0.001:070.00–0.00
Rielly–Lyubushkin2:320.01–0.130:390.00–0.000:370.00–0.192:320.05–0.093:040.01–0.133:040.05–0.061:300.01–0.19
Rielly–Timmins1:120.00–0.061:160.00–0.000:420.01–0.05
Brodie–Rielly0:520.03–0.000:420.07–0.00
Brodie–Lyubushkin1:140.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:490.00–0.19
Brodie–McCabe0:310.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Lyubushkin–Benoit0:360.00–0.00
Brodie–Benoit0:470.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDomi FMatthews FBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FMcMann FKnies FHolmberg FRobertson FKampf FReaves FDewar FRielly DLyubushkin DBrodie DTimmins DBenoit DMcCabe DWoll GHagel FCirelli FStamkos FChaffee FEyssimont FPaul FDuclair FKucherov FPoint FGlendening FMotte FJeannot FFleury DCernak DDumba DLilleberg DRaddysh DHedman DVasilevskiy G
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2524:390:592:1055
Erik CernakTBL2623:420:551:3906
Morgan RiellyTOR2823:140:502:3872
Auston MatthewsTOR2421:410:541:4253
William NylanderTOR2221:040:572:39101
TJ BrodieTOR2920:270:422:0053
Anthony CirelliTBL2820:230:442:0958
Simon BenoitTOR2420:050:501:4014
Jake McCabeTOR2620:000:461:2825
Haydn FleuryTBL2819:060:411:4004
Brandon HagelTBL2818:310:401:1945
Max DomiTOR2218:140:501:4662
Nikita KucherovTBL1817:240:582:1832
John TavaresTOR2017:040:512:23101
Nick PaulTBL2416:570:421:5408
Conor TimminsTOR2316:540:441:1260
Darren RaddyshTBL2116:490:481:2631
Steven StamkosTBL2016:380:503:3545
Tyler BertuzziTOR2515:580:381:0342
Brayden PointTBL1815:500:532:1142
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2515:300:371:3024
Mathew DumbaTBL2115:300:441:1813
Emil LillebergTBL2114:350:421:1413
Pontus HolmbergTOR1714:150:501:2841
Nick RobertsonTOR1613:380:511:3540
Luke GlendeningTBL1913:330:431:1105
Tyler MotteTBL1813:260:451:2816
Michael EyssimontTBL1913:190:421:0912
Bobby McMannTOR1812:510:431:2452
Anthony DuclairTBL1712:420:451:2210
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL1712:010:421:0903
David KampfTOR1811:520:401:0724
Matthew KniesTOR1511:380:471:1540
Connor DewarTOR1510:110:411:1324
Ryan ReavesTOR127:240:371:0711
Tanner JeannotTBL107:140:431:1903