Thu, Apr 11, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
56%
10%
26%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–Strome–Protas | Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn | Pacioretty–Milano–Lapierre | Ovechkin–Oshie–McMichael | Oshie–Pacioretty–McMichael | Ovechkin–Milano–Lapierre | Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome | Jensen–Alexeyev | Carlson–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Iorio | Carlson–van Riemsdyk | Jensen–van Riemsdyk | Jensen–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Peterka | 6:350.04–0.72 | 0:590.29–0.00 | 2:390.09–0.19 | 2:180.00–0.16 | 3:520.09–0.11 | 6:120.39–0.79 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:180.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.19 | |||||
| Girgensons–Jost–Rousek | 2:080.00–0.05 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 3:400.03–0.32 | 2:130.00–0.00 | 3:160.03–0.35 | 1:220.09–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Skinner–Krebs–Benson | 2:520.10–0.00 | 1:280.16–0.00 | 0:570.04–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:550.00–0.00 | 3:030.10–0.03 | 1:340.20–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| Greenway–Cozens–Quinn | 1:250.00–0.07 | 2:140.00–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.10 | 1:000.01–0.00 | 3:080.00–0.10 | 2:030.02–0.04 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Skinner–Greenway–Krebs | 1:380.00–0.11 | 1:110.00–0.11 | 0:500.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Benson | 1:450.00–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 3:280.04–0.60 | 3:000.10–0.02 | 2:050.29–0.32 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.40 | 1:410.00–0.09 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 5:040.00–0.19 | 8:340.46–0.98 | 0:390.00–0.11 | 0:500.04–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.19 | ||
| Clifton–Bryson | 4:380.00–0.13 | 2:520.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:360.00–0.00 | 1:030.05–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.06 | 1:000.00–0.02 | 5:000.10–0.00 | 3:200.02–0.15 | 4:040.00–0.06 | 1:260.03–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |
| Clague–Jokiharju | 2:330.00–0.06 | 3:040.00–0.11 | 3:240.20–0.02 | 1:470.04–0.10 | 1:230.03–0.00 | 5:530.03–0.26 | 3:250.03–0.07 | 3:170.29–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.11 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||
| Clifton–Power | ||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Bryson | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 0:310.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||
| Clifton–Clague |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 29 | 24:54 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 0 | 2 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 30 | 24:36 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 22:55 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 2 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 21:26 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Alexander AlexeyevWSH | 25 | 21:21 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 1 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 24 | 20:53 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 0 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 26 | 20:38 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 1 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 23 | 20:00 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 3 | 0 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 18:41 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 18:36 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 22 | 18:27 | 0:50 | 1:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 18:15 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 22 | 17:58 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 0 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 17:21 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 4 | 1 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 20 | 17:06 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 16:51 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 21 | 16:49 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 1 | 0 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 20 | 16:31 | 0:50 | 1:05 | 3 | 5 |
 Kale ClagueBUF | 20 | 16:25 | 0:49 | 1:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 2 | 5 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 21 | 15:50 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 15:32 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 17 | 15:29 | 0:55 | 1:42 | 4 | 0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 15:25 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Max PaciorettyWSH | 19 | 15:19 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 18 | 14:28 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 14:19 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 2 | 4 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 14 | 13:28 | 0:58 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 17 | 13:19 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 15 | 12:10 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 0 | 6 |
 Beck MalenstynWSH | 15 | 12:10 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 0 | 5 |
 Lukas RousekBUF | 16 | 12:09 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH | 13 | 12:07 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 0 | 5 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 16 | 11:47 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 14 | 11:00 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Vincent IorioWSH | 16 | 9:58 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |