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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 15, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie
  3. P1 1:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:23Shot by Quinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 1:26Goal by Cozens (Quinn, Byram)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Dumba, Paul, Eyssimont, Chaffee, Lilleberg · BUF Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Power, Benson

  6. P1 2:00Shot by Clifton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 4:05Shot by Point, saved by Comrie
  8. P1 4:56Shot by Dumba, saved by Comrie
  9. P1 5:01Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie
  10. P1 7:05Shot by Sheary, saved by Comrie
  11. P1 7:24Shot by Benson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 7:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:04Shot by Cirelli, saved by Comrie
  14. P1 8:06Shot by Cirelli, saved by Comrie
  15. P1 9:24Shot by Point, saved by Comrie
  16. P1 9:26Shot by Duclair, saved by Comrie
  17. P1 13:38Shot by Jost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 15:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie
  19. P1 16:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie
  20. P1 16:48Shot by Point, saved by Comrie
  21. P1 16:50Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Comrie
  22. P1 17:17Shot by Quinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 18:30Shot by Raddysh, saved by Comrie
  24. P1 18:34Greenway: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Greenway, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  25. P1 19:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie5v4
  26. P1 19:23Shot by Benson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  27. P1 19:58Shot by Point, saved by Comrie5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 0:35Shot by Greenway, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 1:20Shot by Peterka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 1:35Shot by Krebs, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 1:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 2:27Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Cernak, Perbix · BUF Skinner, Greenway, Dahlin, Krebs, Power

  36. P2 3:10Shot by Dumba, saved by Comrie
  37. P2 4:17Shot by Cirelli, saved by Comrie
  38. P2 4:45Dahlin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh · BUF Girgensons, Olofsson, Jost, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  39. P2 5:08Goal by Cozens (Greenway)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Cozens, Power

  40. P2 6:58Shot by Power, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 8:10Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie
  42. P2 9:39Shot by Peterka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 10:24Jeannot: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Dumba, Paul, Sheary, Jeannot, Lilleberg · BUF Greenway, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn

  44. P2 11:10Shot by Benson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  45. P2 11:31Shot by Paul, saved by Comrie4v5
  46. P2 11:44Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  47. P2 12:06Shot by Power, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  48. P2 12:37Shot by Cirelli, saved by Comrie
  49. P2 14:03Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Comrie
  50. P2 14:24Shot by Peterka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 16:11Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 16:13Goal by Greenway (Girgensons, Jost)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Duclair, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Greenway, Jost, Bryson

  53. P2 19:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 19:41Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:33Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie
  58. P3 1:00Lilleberg: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Dumba, Paul, Eyssimont, Chaffee, Lilleberg · BUF Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Power, Benson

  59. P3 3:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 3:24Shot by Hagel, saved by Comrie
  61. P3 4:20Shot by Point, saved by Comrie
  62. P3 4:24Shot by Cernak, saved by Comrie
  63. P3 5:16Shot by Quinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 6:57Shot by Chaffee, saved by Comrie
  65. P3 7:16Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 8:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 9:39Goal by Cernak (Paul)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Paul, Sheary, Cernak, Jeannot, Perbix · BUF Girgensons, Clifton, Olofsson, Jost, Bryson

  68. P3 9:54Goal by Benson (Quinn, Cozens)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · BUF Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Benson

  69. P3 10:34Shot by Peterka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 10:44Shot by Peterka, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 13:22Shot by Tuch, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 16:08Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 17:26Shot by Raddysh, saved by Comrie
  74. P3 18:05Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie6v5
  75. P3 19:20Shot by Hedman, saved by Comrie6v5
  76. P3 19:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Comrie6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  78. P3 0:00Final6v5