Mon, Apr 15, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
21%
65%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.17 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:11 | 0.32 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.40 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 49.7% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.01 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.24 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 8 | 20:15 | 1.06 | 89.9% | +49.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.12 | 49.4% | +36.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.98 | 80.6% | +29.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:36 | 0.61 | 85.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.29 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.04 | 44.9% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.03 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.16 | 34.0% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.16 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:11 | 0.02 | 6.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.13 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:15 | 0.05 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:00 | 0.13 | 57.2% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 23:11 | 0.83 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.04 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.26 | 39.7% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.04 | 53.4% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 18:58 | 0.47 | 51.2% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:54 | 0.55 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.20 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.21 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.00 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.03 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.05 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.22 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:47 | 0.01 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.04 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:47 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.79 | −0.2 | 57:36 |