Mon, Apr 15, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
21%
65%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cozens–Quinn–Benson | Girgensons–Olofsson–Jost | Tuch–Greenway–Peterka | Skinner–Tuch–Peterka | Skinner–Greenway–Krebs | Tuch–Thompson–Peterka | Tuch–Krebs–Peterka | Girgensons–Greenway–Krebs | Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Byram–Power | Clifton–Bryson | Bryson–Byram | Clifton–Jokiharju | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Duclair–Point | 2:220.68–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.17 | 2:210.40–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:360.04–0.00 | 4:140.71–0.44 | 3:330.37–0.01 | ||||||
| Paul–Eyssimont–Chaffee | 5:100.08–0.75 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:290.25–0.37 | 3:420.08–0.42 | 2:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Stamkos–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:030.00–0.32 | 0:470.07–0.00 | 2:270.45–0.02 | 1:500.03–0.00 | 3:490.15–0.21 | 2:020.40–0.13 | ||||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 0:530.05–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.12 | 2:320.02–0.15 | 1:020.03–0.11 | |||||||||
| Duclair–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:150.07–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 0:420.00–0.09 | 1:210.00–0.19 | 0:340.07–0.00 | ||||||||
| Paul–Sheary–Jeannot | 1:100.08–0.00 | 0:540.03–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:260.09–0.00 | 1:290.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Glendening–Sheary–Jeannot | 0:480.01–0.10 | 2:120.05–0.12 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 0:420.01–0.00 | 1:320.06–0.22 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:540.00–0.02 | 2:350.71–0.00 | 2:040.07–0.17 | 2:270.00–0.32 | 2:300.40–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.01 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 4:230.14–0.03 | 5:220.83–0.64 | 5:250.40–0.22 | ||||
| Cernak–Perbix | 2:280.08–0.21 | 0:540.03–0.00 | 2:240.01–0.00 | 1:240.22–0.02 | 0:460.09–0.02 | 2:220.40–0.02 | 1:250.03–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.09 | 5:570.41–0.32 | 2:480.33–0.06 | 4:060.03–0.24 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||
| Dumba–Lilleberg | 6:310.09–1.04 | 2:340.07–0.00 | 0:500.07–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.12 | 3:170.00–0.48 | 4:440.17–0.57 | 2:490.06–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 26:15 | 1:01 | 2:58 | 1 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 24:13 | 0:58 | 2:09 | 4 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 24:00 | 1:05 | 2:59 | 4 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 23:11 | 1:03 | 2:50 | 3 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 24 | 23:11 | 0:58 | 2:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 22:23 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 2 | 7 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 26 | 21:16 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 23 | 21:02 | 0:55 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 22 | 20:54 | 0:57 | 1:37 | 1 | 6 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 20:17 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 26 | 20:15 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 3 | 10 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 26 | 19:55 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 8 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 26 | 19:04 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 3 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 18:58 | 0:57 | 2:31 | 5 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 18:54 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 1 | 6 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 21 | 18:28 | 0:53 | 2:24 | 3 | 5 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 22 | 18:19 | 0:50 | 2:27 | 4 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 24 | 17:32 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 2 | 6 |
 Anthony DuclairTBL | 19 | 17:09 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 23 | 16:57 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 3 | 8 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 22 | 16:36 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 4 | 7 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 23 | 16:28 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 3 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 19 | 16:08 | 0:51 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Mathew DumbaTBL | 20 | 15:46 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 7 | 3 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 20 | 15:03 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 6 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 17 | 13:38 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 12:34 | 0:36 | 1:23 | 3 | 7 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 12 | 12:04 | 1:00 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 15 | 10:52 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 4 | 2 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 13 | 10:02 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 14 | 9:47 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 13 | 9:29 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 13 | 8:45 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 2 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 12 | 8:01 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 1 | 5 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 6 | 3:47 | 0:38 | 0:48 | 3 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 5 | 3:11 | 0:38 | 0:49 | 1 | 1 |