Thu, Oct 10, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, New Jersey Devils 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
45%
11%
9%
34%
NJD winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:25 | 0.00 | 47.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:51 | 0.00 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.00 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.53 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.13 | 50.3% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.01 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.01 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.21 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.31 | 70.1% | +23.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.30 | 61.8% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.01 | 36.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 63.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 63.5% | +7.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.13 | 70.1% | +10.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 10:20 | 0.18 | 75.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.05 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:36 | 0.32 | 70.6% | +15.7 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.48 | +0.5 | 59:29 |
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 25:30 | 0.24 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.29 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.32 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:35 | 0.49 | 64.3% | +9.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:19 | 0.47 | 53.1% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.02 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.01 | 50.2% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 63.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.21 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.11 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.08 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.12 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.02 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.01 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.11 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.71 | −2.3 | 58:06 |