Sat, Oct 12, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Calgary Flames 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 70% of the time.
62%
24%
CGY winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:39 | 0.03 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:05 | 0.12 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 21:13 | 0.60 | 39.1% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.17 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.03 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.37 | 30.1% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.04 | 38.4% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.02 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:06 | 0.31 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.32 | 53.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.02 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13:25 | 0.64 | 44.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.03 | 71.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.03 | 20.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.01 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:14 | 0.03 | 40.5% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:04 | 0.33 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.86 | −1.1 | 58:36 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.15 | 54.2% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:13 | 0.48 | 51.0% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.01 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.32 | 58.1% | +9.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:03 | 1.00 | 45.6% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.05 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.44 | 38.1% | +9.7 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.76 | 73.7% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.12 | 51.7% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 55.0% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:43 | 0.57 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:07 | 0.13 | 78.8% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:45 | 0.18 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:33 | 0.15 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 76.9% | +11.8 |
| W | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.11 | +0.1 | 59:03 |