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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 16, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Boston Bruins 5, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 77% of the time.

COL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lindholm–Pastrnak–ZachaMarchand–Coyle–FredericKastelic–Koepke–BeecherTufte–Jones–PoitrasJones–Kastelic–KoepkeLindholm–CarloMcAvoy–LohreiZadorov–PeekeZadorov–CarloPeeke–LohreiZadorov–McAvoyLindholm–McAvoyLindholm–PeekeCarlo–McAvoy
MacKinnon–Rantanen–Colton2:020.18–0.012:430.52–0.000:420.04–0.003:480.25–0.010:530.03–0.051:060.45–0.00
Mittelstadt–Kiviranta–Ritchie1:270.00–0.110:460.00–0.001:410.00–0.001:290.00–0.001:200.00–0.110:340.00–0.00
Mittelstadt–Kovalenko–O'Connor2:330.08–0.000:430.00–0.000:470.08–0.000:510.00–0.001:510.02–0.00
Wood–MacKinnon–O'Connor0:430.00–0.061:200.00–0.021:340.15–0.020:300.00–0.020:480.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:350.00–0.06
MacKinnon–Rantanen–Kovalenko0:350.06–0.010:340.00–0.071:110.10–0.010:560.00–0.070:390.00–0.010:580.10–0.00
Rantanen–Colton–Kovalenko1:020.00–0.000:340.10–0.000:310.10–0.000:460.00–0.05
Kelly–Stienburg–Ivan0:560.00–0.091:060.01–0.002:020.01–0.09
MacKinnon–Rantanen–Mittelstadt0:390.00–0.010:510.01–0.000:450.00–0.00
MacKinnon–Mittelstadt–Ritchie0:330.02–0.030:570.00–0.001:070.02–0.00
Kelly–Kiviranta–Ritchie0:400.01–0.001:080.01–0.000:300.01–0.00
Wood–Colton–O'Connor0:490.00–0.001:270.00–0.00
Wood–Mittelstadt–O'Connor1:050.00–0.250:320.00–0.00
Wood–Kelly–O'Connor0:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Kelly–O'Connor–Ivan0:300.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Kylington–Makar3:390.20–0.203:060.45–0.091:550.15–0.023:540.20–0.091:350.00–0.031:390.00–0.460:410.00–0.060:490.60–0.00
Manson–Girard2:370.06–0.011:550.00–0.250:380.00–0.353:120.00–0.000:540.00–0.002:540.00–0.012:020.00–0.350:510.00–0.051:270.00–0.24
de Haan–Malinski1:300.08–0.003:460.25–0.090:440.00–0.000:350.07–0.001:040.00–0.001:540.10–0.091:550.15–0.001:000.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Girard–Makar1:420.00–0.132:530.07–0.010:330.00–0.003:070.07–0.021:090.01–0.120:340.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Manson–Kylington1:240.00–0.000:420.02–0.000:580.02–0.000:530.00–0.000:300.01–0.001:030.01–0.00
de Haan–Manson0:360.01–0.000:370.00–0.000:540.03–0.000:400.00–0.00
Kylington–Malinski0:340.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Makar–Malinski0:560.03–0.000:380.00–0.00
de Haan–Makar0:330.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
de Haan–Girard0:520.01–0.000:570.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndColton FKovalenko FRantanen FWood FO'Connor FMacKinnon FMittelstadt FRitchie FKiviranta FKelly FStienburg FIvan FManson DGirard DKylington DMakar Dde Haan DMalinski DGeorgiev GFrederic FCoyle FMarchand FBeecher FKastelic FKoepke FLindholm FZacha FPastrnak FTufte FJones FPoitras FCarlo DLindholm DLohrei DMcAvoy DPeeke DZadorov DKorpisalo G
COLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Cale MakarCOL2927:280:572:2582
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2823:480:512:3183
Samuel GirardCOL3023:340:471:3346
Charlie McAvoyBOS3122:590:441:2282
Hampus LindholmBOS2922:040:462:0628
David PastrnakBOS2522:000:531:3772
Mikko RantanenCOL2721:450:482:2863
Casey MittelstadtCOL2321:330:562:1751
Brandon CarloBOS2920:030:411:4717
Elias LindholmBOS2619:550:461:3774
Ross ColtonCOL2719:360:442:3345
Charlie CoyleBOS2419:340:491:3015
Pavel ZachaBOS2419:280:491:3784
Josh MansonCOL3119:180:371:1018
Logan O'ConnorCOL2718:460:421:1518
Nikita ZadorovBOS2518:200:441:5132
Oliver KylingtonCOL2517:350:422:0833
Mason LohreiBOS2517:000:411:1670
Trent FredericBOS2216:390:451:1013
Mark KastelicBOS2316:210:431:1411
Brad MarchandBOS1816:200:541:5213
Andrew PeekeBOS2215:340:422:0350
Calvin de HaanCOL2415:090:381:2516
Cole KoepkeBOS2214:000:381:2611
Calum RitchieCOL1613:450:522:0710
John BeecherBOS2213:230:371:2613
Sam MalinskiCOL1913:070:411:2713
Nikolai KovalenkoCOL2013:030:391:0903
Miles WoodCOL1912:460:401:0702
Parker KellyCOL2312:430:330:5917
Joel KivirantaCOL2011:100:341:0311
Max JonesBOS139:220:431:2420
Matthew PoitrasBOS128:230:421:1030
Riley TufteBOS96:540:461:1710
Ivan IvanCOL106:290:391:0812
Matthew StienburgCOL94:360:310:5103