Thu, Oct 24, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.
17%
70%
CGY winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.07 | 73.2% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.03 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:16 | 0.08 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.49 | 81.4% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.05 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:40 | 0.29 | 55.5% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:29 | 0.80 | 48.1% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:03 | 0.35 | 62.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.25 | 64.5% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.11 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.02 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.09 | 67.6% | +10.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 13:47 | 0.91 | 49.9% | +5.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:50 | 0.47 | 62.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.34 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:41 | 0.16 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:33 | 0.14 | 68.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.83 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:56 | 0.10 | 41.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.02 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 19:14 | 0.80 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.20 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:49 | 0.46 | 42.6% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:26 | 0.24 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.12 | 31.9% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.18 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.37 | 31.4% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.05 | 27.0% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.04 | 37.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.02 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:21 | 0.19 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:09 | 0.00 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:42 | 0.04 | 13.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 3.93 | +0.9 | 59:34 |